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Revisiting endogeneity among foreign direct investment, economic growth and stock market development: Moderating role of political instability

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  • Mohammad Enamul Hoque
  • Tahmina Akhter
  • Noor Azuddin Yakob

Abstract

This study investigates the endogeneity among foreign direct investment, economic growth, and stock market development, along with the moderating role of political instability on the relationship among foreign direct investment, economic growth, and stock market development. The study employs selected macroeconomic variables data for the period of 1993–2016 with Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) system and hierarchical regression approach for hypothesis testing. This study discovers that there are short-run and long-run association among economic growth, foreign direct investment, and stock market development. In the long run, only unidirectional relationship exists among economic growth, foreign direct investment, and stock market development. However, in the short-run, bidirectional relationship is evident between economic growth and stock market development. This study reveals that foreign direct investment partially mediates the relationship between economic growth and stock market development; and political instability negatively moderates the economic growth and stock market development nexus, the foreign direct investment and stock market development nexus, and the economic growth and foreign direct investment nexus. Therefore, this study suggests that political stability is a must for Bangladesh to achieve stock market development, to increase the foreign direct investment inflows, and to achieve long term sustainable growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohammad Enamul Hoque & Tahmina Akhter & Noor Azuddin Yakob, 2018. "Revisiting endogeneity among foreign direct investment, economic growth and stock market development: Moderating role of political instability," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 1492311-149, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:oaefxx:v:6:y:2018:i:1:p:1492311
    DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2018.1492311
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. J. François Outreville, 2021. "Insurance and foreign direct investment: a review (or lack) of evidence," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 46(2), pages 236-247, April.
    2. Kashif Islam & Ahmad Raza Bilal & Syed Anees Haider Zaidi, 2022. "Symmetric and asymmetric nexus between economic freedom and stock market development in Pakistan," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 2391-2421, November.
    3. Waliu O. Shittu & Gazi M. Hassan & Frank G. Scrimgeour, 2023. "The Impact of COVID-19 on the Relationship between Foreign Direct Investment and Sustainable Development," Working Papers in Economics 23/08, University of Waikato.
    4. Zeeshan, Muhammad & han, Jiabin & Rehman, Alam & Ullah, Irfan & Hussain, Arif & Alam Afridi, Fakhr E., 2022. "Exploring symmetric and asymmetric nexus between corruption, political instability, natural resources and economic growth in the context of Pakistan," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    5. KHAIRUNNISA ZULKIFLI & Sharulshahida Shakrein Safian & RAZIDA HANEM MOHD RADZIL & NORHASIMAH SHAHARUDDIN, 2024. "The Impact of Stock Market Development on Economic Growth a Case of Malaysia," Information Management and Business Review, AMH International, vol. 16(1), pages 86-104.
    6. Mohammad Enamul Hoque & Mohd Azlan Shah Zaidi & M. Kabir Hassan, 2021. "Geopolitical Uncertainties and Malaysian Stock Market Returns: Do Market Conditions Matter?," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(19), pages 1-16, September.
    7. Osabuohien-Irabor Osarumwense & Drapkin Igor M., 2023. "Global Outward Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth Across Income Groups: The Mediating Effect of Home Country Institutions," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(2), pages 21582440231, April.
    8. Nianyong Wang & Muhammad Haroon Shah & Kishwar Ali & Shah Abbas & Sami Ullah, 2019. "Financial Structure, Misery Index, and Economic Growth: Time Series Empirics from Pakistan," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-15, June.

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