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An analysis of the relation between return and beta for portfolios of Turkish equities

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  • Salvatore J. Terregrossa
  • Veysel Eraslan

Abstract

The present study investigates the possible existence of a systematic relation between beta and excess-return for portfolios of Turkish equities. In the process, no systematic relation is found between beta and realized portfolio excess-return, in an unconditional sense. However, the study does find a systematic relation between realized portfolio excess-return and beta, conditioned upon the sign of realized market-portfolio excess-return. Moreover, an even stronger systematic relation is found between realized portfolio excess-return and beta, conditioned not only upon the sign, but also the magnitude of realized market-portfolio excess-return, with the estimation of the security market plane (SMP) model. The study has several useful implications for portfolio managers. Firstly, the empirical findings strongly suggest that employment of the SMP model may generate more accurate estimations of expected asset-return, compared with straightforward application of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). Enhanced accuracy of expected asset-return, in turn, may lead to more accurate appraisals of asset value, resulting in more profitable investment opportunities and decisions. Employment of the SMP model may thus lead to enhanced efficient-portfolio development, by leading to construction of portfolios with greater expected-return, for a given class of quantifiable-risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Salvatore J. Terregrossa & Veysel Eraslan, 2016. "An analysis of the relation between return and beta for portfolios of Turkish equities," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1168501-116, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:oaefxx:v:4:y:2016:i:1:p:1168501
    DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2016.1168501
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1992. "The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(2), pages 427-465, June.
    2. Pettengill, Glenn N. & Sundaram, Sridhar & Mathur, Ike, 1995. "The Conditional Relation between Beta and Returns," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 30(1), pages 101-116, March.
    3. Bernard Bollen, 2010. "The security market plane," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(15), pages 1231-1240.
    4. William F. Sharpe, 1964. "Capital Asset Prices: A Theory Of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions Of Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 19(3), pages 425-442, September.
    5. Black, Fischer, 1972. "Capital Market Equilibrium with Restricted Borrowing," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 45(3), pages 444-455, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Muhammad Adnan Arshad & Saira Munir & Bashir Ahmad & Muhammad Waseem, 2019. "Do factors matter for predicting high-risk stock returns? Comparison of single-, three- and five-factor CAPM," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 6(02), pages 1-16, June.

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