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An equilibrium-based network model for international container flows

Author

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  • Dung-Ying Lin
  • Kuan-Ling Huang

Abstract

The liner shipping industry is a highly complex system and is extremely sensitive to rapid changes in the environment. To facilitate decision-making in response to endogenous and exogenous shocks, this research develops a strategic network model based on equilibrium principles to analyze the international marine liner shipping network according to port charge, congestion level at the port, and load factor of the ship and estimates the possible container flows under different scenarios in the long run. The distribution model of container flows is extended from Beckmann's transformation. To calibrate the parameters employed in the model so that it offers greater fidelity in predicting container flows, we devise a descent direction-based heuristic. The proposed framework is empirically applied to various scenarios to validate the model and predict the flow pattern after significant events. By identifying these events’ potential impact on the maritime network, the presented model can help relevant stakeholders reduce uncertainty when shaping maritime policies so that they can seize opportunities to increase their competitiveness and maintain their advantage in the maritime market.

Suggested Citation

  • Dung-Ying Lin & Kuan-Ling Huang, 2017. "An equilibrium-based network model for international container flows," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(8), pages 1034-1055, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:marpmg:v:44:y:2017:i:8:p:1034-1055
    DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2017.1371855
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bell, Michael G.H. & Liu, Xin & Rioult, Jeremy & Angeloudis, Panagiotis, 2013. "A cost-based maritime container assignment model," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 58-70.
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhuo Sun & Ran Zhang & Tao Zhu, 2022. "Simulating the Impact of the Sustained Melting Arctic on the Global Container Sea–Rail Intermodal Shipping," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-19, September.
    2. Achilleas Tsantis & John Mangan & Agustina Calatayud & Roberto Palacin, 2023. "Container shipping: a systematic literature review of themes and factors that influence the establishment of direct connections between countries," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 25(4), pages 667-697, December.
    3. Nagurney, Anna & Shukla, Shivani & Nagurney, Ladimer S. & Saberi, Sara, 2018. "A game theory model for freight service provision security investments for high-value cargo," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 21-28.
    4. Anurag Kulshrestha & Abhishek Yadav & Himanshu Sharma & Shikha Suman, 2024. "A deep learning‐based multivariate decomposition and ensemble framework for container throughput forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(7), pages 2685-2704, November.
    5. Nicanor García Álvarez & Belarmino Adenso-Díaz & Laura Calzada-Infante, 2021. "Maritime Traffic as a Complex Network: a Systematic Review," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 387-417, June.
    6. Li, Xinyan & Xie, Chi & Bao, Zhaoyao, 2022. "A multimodal multicommodity network equilibrium model with service capacity and bottleneck congestion for China-Europe containerized freight flows," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).

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