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Opening China's Capital Account: Modeling the Capital Flow Response

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  • James Laurenceson
  • Kam Ki Tang

Abstract

Capital account convertibility in China is on the rise. In this paper we consider the impact that removing remaining capital controls might have on the volume of China's international capital flows. Better understanding of this capital flow response can shed light on China's current degree of international financial integration, which has important implications for policy decisions such as whether China should move toward a more flexible exchange rate regime. It is also relevant to discussing the financial stability consequences of removing remaining capital controls. The main finding is that China's capital account is already quite open, thus implying a tradeoff presently exists between exchange rate stability on the one hand and monetary independence on the other. In terms of financial stability, the results generally serve to allay fears that further opening the capital account would compromise China's international payments ability or disrupt global capital flows.

Suggested Citation

  • James Laurenceson & Kam Ki Tang, 2007. "Opening China's Capital Account: Modeling the Capital Flow Response," Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1-18.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jocebs:v:5:y:2007:i:1:p:1-18
    DOI: 10.1080/14765280601109196
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Dai, Meixing, 2011. "Motivations and strategies for a real revaluation of the Yuan," MPRA Paper 30440, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Meixing Dai, 2013. "In search of an optimal strategy for yuan’s real revaluation," Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(1), pages 29-46, February.
    3. James S Laurenceson & Callan Windsor, 2011. "How Effective is China’s Monetary Policy? An assessment of the link between the growth of monetary aggregates and inflation during the 2000s," Discussion Papers Series 435, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
    4. Pornpen Sodsrichai & Sakkapop Panyanukul & Nantaporn Pongpatthananon, 2011. ""Putting All Eggs in One Basket" Thailand's Under-Investment Abroad: Impact and Explanations," Working Papers 2011-06, Monetary Policy Group, Bank of Thailand.
    5. Tahsin Saadi Sedik & Tao Sun, 2012. "Effects of Capital Flow Liberalization: What is the Evidence from Recent Experiences of Emerging Market Economies?," IMF Working Papers 2012/275, International Monetary Fund.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    JEL C LASSIFICATION : F30; F47;

    JEL classification:

    • C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods
    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • F47 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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