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Stochastic Spanning

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  • Stelios Arvanitis
  • Mark Hallam
  • Thierry Post
  • Nikolas Topaloglou

Abstract

This study develops and implements methods for determining whether introducing new securities or relaxing investment constraints improves the investment opportunity set for all risk averse investors. We develop a test procedure for “stochastic spanning” for two nested portfolio sets based on subsampling and linear programming. The test is statistically consistent and asymptotically exact for a class of weakly dependent processes. A Monte Carlo simulation experiment shows good statistical size and power properties in finite samples of realistic dimensions. In an application to standard datasets of historical stock market returns, we accept market portfolio efficiency but reject two-fund separation, which suggests an important role for higher-order moment risk in portfolio theory and asset pricing. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.

Suggested Citation

  • Stelios Arvanitis & Mark Hallam & Thierry Post & Nikolas Topaloglou, 2019. "Stochastic Spanning," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(4), pages 573-585, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:jnlbes:v:37:y:2019:i:4:p:573-585
    DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2017.1391099
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    Cited by:

    1. Arvanitis, Stelios & Scaillet, Olivier & Topaloglou, Nikolas, 2020. "Spanning tests for Markowitz stochastic dominance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 217(2), pages 291-311.
    2. Karl Demers‐Bélanger & Van Son Lai, 2020. "Diversification benefits of cat bonds: An in‐depth examination," Financial Markets, Institutions & Instruments, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 29(5), pages 165-228, December.
    3. Kouaissah, Noureddine, 2023. "Robust reward-risk performance measures with weakly second-order stochastic dominance constraints," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 53-62.
    4. Pho, Kim Hung & Ly, Sel & Lu, Richard & Hoang, Thi Hong Van & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2021. "Is Bitcoin a better portfolio diversifier than gold? A copula and sectoral analysis for China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    5. Iñaki R. Longarela, 2016. "A Characterization of the SSD-Efficient Frontier of Portfolio Weights by Means of a Set of Mixed-Integer Linear Constraints," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 62(12), pages 3549-3554, December.
    6. Stelios Arvanitis, 2021. "Stochastic dominance efficient sets and stochastic spanning," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(1), pages 401-409, June.
    7. Arvanitis, Stelios & Scaillet, Olivier & Topaloglou, Nikolas, 2020. "Spanning analysis of stock market anomalies under prospect stochastic dominance," Working Papers unige:134101, University of Geneva, Geneva School of Economics and Management.
    8. Pinar, Mehmet & Stengos, Thanasis & Topaloglou, Nikolas, 2020. "On the construction of a feasible range of multidimensional poverty under benchmark weight uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 281(2), pages 415-427.
    9. Anyfantaki, Sofia & Arvanitis, Stelios & Topaloglou, Nikolas, 2021. "Diversification benefits in the cryptocurrency market under mild explosivity," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 295(1), pages 378-393.
    10. Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Topaloglou, Nikolas & Walther, Thomas, 2020. "Asset Classes and Portfolio Diversification: Evidence from a Stochastic Spanning Approach," MPRA Paper 103870, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Stelios Arvanitis, 2015. "Saddle-Type Functionals for Continuous Processes with Applications to Tests for Stochastic Spanning," Working Papers 201509, Athens University Of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
    12. Liesiö, Juuso & Kallio, Markku & Argyris, Nikolaos, 2023. "Incomplete risk-preference information in portfolio decision analysis," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 304(3), pages 1084-1098.

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    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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