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Estimation for Non-Negative Lévy-Driven CARMA Processes

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  • Peter J. Brockwell
  • Richard A. Davis
  • Yu Yang

Abstract

Continuous-time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) processes with a nonnegative kernel and driven by a nondecreasing Lévy process constitute a useful and very general class of stationary, nonnegative continuous-time processes that have been used, in particular, for the modeling of stochastic volatility. Brockwell, Davis, and Yang (2007) derived efficient estimates of the parameters of a nonnegative Lévy-driven CAR(1) process and showed how the realization of the underlying Lévy process can be estimated from closely-spaced observations of the process itself. In this article we show how the ideas of that article can be generalized to higher order CARMA processes with nonnegative kernel, the key idea being the decomposition of the CARMA process into a sum of dependent Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes.

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  • Peter J. Brockwell & Richard A. Davis & Yu Yang, 2011. "Estimation for Non-Negative Lévy-Driven CARMA Processes," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(2), pages 250-259, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jnlbes:v:29:y:2011:i:2:p:250-259
    DOI: 10.1198/jbes.2010.08165
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Pham, Viet Son, 2020. "Lévy-driven causal CARMA random fields," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 130(12), pages 7547-7574.
    2. Rowińska, Paulina A. & Veraart, Almut E.D. & Gruet, Pierre, 2021. "A multi-factor approach to modelling the impact of wind energy on electricity spot prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    3. Zahra Sokoot & Navideh Modarresi & Farzaneh Niknejad, 2017. "Modeling credit default swap premiums with stochastic recovery rate," Papers 1706.05703, arXiv.org.
    4. Sikora, Grzegorz & Michalak, Anna & Bielak, Łukasz & Miśta, Paweł & Wyłomańska, Agnieszka, 2019. "Stochastic modeling of currency exchange rates with novel validation techniques," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 1202-1215.
    5. Brockwell, Peter J. & Schlemm, Eckhard, 2013. "Parametric estimation of the driving Lévy process of multivariate CARMA processes from discrete observations," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 217-251.
    6. Lorenzo Mercuri & Andrea Perchiazzo & Edit Rroji, 2020. "Finite Mixture Approximation of CARMA(p,q) Models," Papers 2005.10130, arXiv.org, revised May 2020.
    7. Mercuri, Lorenzo & Perchiazzo, Andrea & Rroji, Edit, 2024. "A Hawkes model with CARMA(p,q) intensity," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 1-26.
    8. Szarek, Dawid & Bielak, Łukasz & Wyłomańska, Agnieszka, 2020. "Long-term prediction of the metals’ prices using non-Gaussian time-inhomogeneous stochastic process," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 555(C).
    9. Stefano Iacus & Lorenzo Mercuri, 2015. "Implementation of Lévy CARMA model in Yuima package," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 30(4), pages 1111-1141, December.
    10. Basse-O’Connor, Andreas & Nielsen, Mikkel Slot & Pedersen, Jan & Rohde, Victor, 2019. "Multivariate stochastic delay differential equations and CAR representations of CARMA processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 129(10), pages 4119-4143.
    11. Asmerilda Hitaj & Lorenzo Mercuri & Edit Rroji, 2019. "Lévy CARMA models for shocks in mortality," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 42(1), pages 205-227, June.
    12. Benth, Fred Espen & Karbach, Sven, 2023. "Multivariate continuous-time autoregressive moving-average processes on cones," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 299-337.
    13. Benth, Fred Espen & Klüppelberg, Claudia & Müller, Gernot & Vos, Linda, 2014. "Futures pricing in electricity markets based on stable CARMA spot models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 392-406.

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