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On exports and economic growth: the case of Italy

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  • Daniela Federici
  • Daniela Marconi

Abstract

The export-led growth hypothesis for the Italian economy (1960-98) is tested through a VAR model with four macroeconomic variables: an index of the GDP of the rest of the world; the Italian real exchange rate; Italian real exports; and the Italian real GDP. Our results provide clear empirical support for the hypothesis. They also suggest that the Kaldorian approach is very useful in analysing short-run as well as long-run growth and fluctuations of an open economy such as Italy.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniela Federici & Daniela Marconi, 2001. "On exports and economic growth: the case of Italy," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(3), pages 323-340.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jitecd:v:11:y:2001:i:3:p:323-340
    DOI: 10.1080/09638190210151428
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Marin, Dalia, 1992. "Is the Export-Led.Growth Hypothesis Valid for Industrialized Countries?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 74(4), pages 678-688, November.
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    4. Panos C. Afxentiou & Apostolos Serletis, 1991. "Exports and GNP Causality in the Industrial Countries: 1950–1985," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(2), pages 167-179, May.
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    6. repec:bla:kyklos:v:44:y:1991:i:2:p:167-79 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Ahmad, Jaleel & Harnhirun, Somchai, 1995. "Unit roots and cointegration in estimating causality between exports and economic growth: Empirical evidence from the ASEAN countries," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 329-334, September.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Cortes-Jimenez, Isabel & Pulina, Manuela, 2006. "A further step into the ELGH and TLGH for Spain and Italy," Natural Resources Management Working Papers 12137, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    3. Pugno, Maurizio, 2021. "Italy’s parabolas of GDP and subjective well-being: the role of education," MPRA Paper 107948, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Pistoresi, Barbara & Rinaldi, Alberto, 2012. "Exports, imports and growth," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 241-254.
    5. Muhammad Shahbaz & Pervaz Azim & Khalil Ahmad, 2011. "Exports-Led Growth Hypothesis in Pakistan: Further Evidence," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 1(3), pages 182-197.
    6. Isabel Cortes-Jimenez & Manuela Pulina, 2006. "Tourism and Growth: Evidence for Spain and Italy," ERSA conference papers ersa06p128, European Regional Science Association.
    7. Yapatake Kossele Thales Pacific & Li Jin Shan & Abeid Ahmed Ramadhan, 2017. "Military Expenditure, Export, FDI and Economic Performance in Cameroon," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 18(3), pages 577-589, June.
    8. Mehmet Akif KARA, 2020. "Testing the Hypothesis of Export-Oriented Growth at the Regional Level in Turkey," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 28(45).
    9. Pacific K. T. Yapatake & Shan J. Li & Ramadhan A. Abeid, 2017. "Military Expenditure, Export, FDI and Economic Performance in Cameroon," CEREDEC Working Papers 17/002, Centre de Recherche pour le Développement Economique (CEREDEC).
    10. Ms. Mwanza Nkusu, 2013. "Boosting Competitiveness to Grow Out of Debt: Can Ireland Find a Way Back to Its Future?," IMF Working Papers 2013/035, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Biswajit Maitra, 2020. "Exploring Import-led Growth in India: Evidence from the Post-reform Period," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 9(1), pages 87-113, June.
    12. Algieri, Bernardina, 2010. "Income and Price Elasticities of the Italian Exports in Tourism Services - Elasticità rispetto al reddito e ai prezzi relativi delle esportazioni italiane di servizi turistici," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 63(4), pages 381-405.

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