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Mapping vulnerability to extreme heat events: lessons from metropolitan Chicago

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  • Bev Wilson
  • Arnab Chakraborty

Abstract

In this paper, we develop an approach for identifying the location of populations most vulnerable to extreme heat events and how those locations change over time. We scan the literature on measuring vulnerability, especially sensitivity and adaptive capacity of populations. We employ Census data for metropolitan Chicago for the years 1990, 2000, and 2010, and maximum likelihood factor analysis to derive an index and map the distribution of Census tracts where residents exhibit greater sensitivity and/or lower adaptive capacity to extreme heat. Our findings show a pattern of deconcentration and decentralization of these populations within the city and region over time, with gentrification and the suburbanization of poverty trends observed in many US metropolitan regions as possible contributing factors. Finally, we discuss the implications of these findings for planning efforts in the study area and offer suggestions for further research.

Suggested Citation

  • Bev Wilson & Arnab Chakraborty, 2019. "Mapping vulnerability to extreme heat events: lessons from metropolitan Chicago," Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 62(6), pages 1065-1088, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jenpmg:v:62:y:2019:i:6:p:1065-1088
    DOI: 10.1080/09640568.2018.1462475
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    Cited by:

    1. Rakin Abrar & Showmitra Kumar Sarkar & Kashfia Tasnim Nishtha & Swapan Talukdar & Shahfahad & Atiqur Rahman & Abu Reza Md Towfiqul Islam & Amir Mosavi, 2022. "Assessing the Spatial Mapping of Heat Vulnerability under Urban Heat Island (UHI) Effect in the Dhaka Metropolitan Area," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-24, April.
    2. Joseph Karanja & Lawrence M. Kiage, 2022. "Scale implications and evolution of a social vulnerability index in Atlanta, Georgia, USA," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 113(1), pages 789-812, August.
    3. Kijin Seong & Junfeng Jiao & Akhil Mandalapu, 2023. "Evaluating the effects of heat vulnerability on heat-related emergency medical service incidents: Lessons from Austin, Texas," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 50(3), pages 776-795, March.
    4. Michael T. Schmeltz & Peter J. Marcotullio, 2019. "Examination of Human Health Impacts Due to Adverse Climate Events Through the Use of Vulnerability Mapping: A Scoping Review," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-19, August.
    5. Fei Li & Tan Yigitcanlar & Madhav Nepal & Kien Nguyen Thanh & Fatih Dur, 2022. "Understanding Urban Heat Vulnerability Assessment Methods: A PRISMA Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-34, September.

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