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Is there a long-run relationship between population growth and living standards? The case of India

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  • P. J. Dawson
  • Richard Tiffin

Abstract

This note examines the existence of a long-run, cointegrating relationship between population and per capita GDP in India for 1950-93. Unit root tests show that per capita GDP is integrated of order one while population is integrated of order zero; further, estimation of the bi-variate relationship using the cointegration procedure of Johansen shows that no long-run relationship exists. Thus, population growth neither causes per capita income growth nor is caused by it. A corollary is that population growth neither stimulates per capita income growth nor detracts from it.

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  • P. J. Dawson & Richard Tiffin, 1998. "Is there a long-run relationship between population growth and living standards? The case of India," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(5), pages 149-156.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jdevst:v:34:y:1998:i:5:p:149-156
    DOI: 10.1080/00220389808422540
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    Cited by:

    1. Dutt, Amitava K. & Ros, Jaime, 2007. "Aggregate demand shocks and economic growth," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 75-99, March.
    2. Fumitaka Furuoka & Qaiser Munir, 2011. "Can population growth contribute to economic development? New evidence from Singapore," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(4), pages 3226-3239.
    3. Victor Ukpolo, 2002. "Population Growth and Economic Growth in Africa," Journal of Developing Societies, , vol. 18(4), pages 315-329, December.
    4. repec:phd:pjdevt:pjd_2010_vol__37_no__1d is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Pekarčíková, Kateřina & Vaněk, Michal & Sousedíková, Radmila, 2022. "Determinants of economic growth: Panel data analysis of OPEC," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    6. Alvarez-Dias, Marcos & D'Hombres, Beatrice & Ghisetti, Claudia & Pontarollo, Nicola & Dijkstra, Lewis, 2018. "The Determinants of Population Growth: Literature review and empirical analysis," Working Papers 2018-10, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
    7. Jorge Garza-Rodriguez & Cecilia I. Andrade-Velasco & Karen D. Martinez-Silva & Francisco D. Renteria-Rodriguez & Pedro A. Vallejo-Castillo, 2016. "The relationship between population growth and economic growth in Mexico," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(1), pages 97-107.
    8. Themba G. Chirwa & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2019. "The nexus between key macroeconomic determinants and economic growth in Zambia: a dynamic multivariate Granger causality linkage," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 301-327, July.
    9. Gargi Bhattacharya & Sushil Kr. Haldar, 2015. "Does demographic dividend yield economic dividend? India, a case study," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 35(2), pages 1274-1291.
    10. Fumitaka Furuoka, 2018. "Is population beneficial to economic growth? An empirical study of China," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 52(1), pages 209-225, January.
    11. Apergis, Nicholas & Polemis, Michael, 2018. "Electricity supply shocks and economic growth across the US states: evidence from a time-varying Bayesian panel VAR model, aggregate and disaggregate energy sources," MPRA Paper 84954, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Furuoka, Fumitaka, 2014. "Population and economic development in Sarawak, Malaysia," MPRA Paper 60636, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Silvia London & Gastón Cayssials & Fernando Antonio Ignacio González, 2022. "Population growth and economic growth: a panel causality analysis," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4574, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    14. Fumitaka Furuoka, 2009. "Population Growth and Economic Development: New Empirical Evidence from Thailand," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(1), pages 1-14.
    15. Hasan, Mohammad S., 2010. "The long-run relationship between population and per capita income growth in China," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 355-372, May.
    16. Wongboonsin, Kua & Phiromswad, Piyachart, 2017. "Searching for empirical linkages between demographic structure and economic growth," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 364-379.
    17. Joao Ricardo Faria & Miguel Leon-Ledesma & Adolfo Sachsida, 2006. "Population and income: Is there a puzzle?," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(6), pages 909-917.
    18. Abdullah Abdulaziz A. Bawazir & Mohamed Aslam & Ahmad Farid Bin Osman, 2020. "Demographic change and economic growth: empirical evidence from the Middle East," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 53(3), pages 429-450, August.

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