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Financial market efficiency in an Agrarian economy: Microeconometric analysis of the Pakistani Punjab

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  • Maqbool Sial
  • Michael Carter

Abstract

The shadow price of capital in production is a useful indicator of the efficacy of the rural financial system. Using data on participants and non‐participants in a small farm credit programme from the Pakistani Punjab, this article estimates the shadow price of capital. Endogenous switching regressions techniques are employed to control for the likely heterogeneity of borrowers versus non‐borrowers. Results indicate that an individual selected at random from the population of small farmers would experience a 200 per cent rate of return on the first rupee borrowed from the small farm credit programme, indicating a high shadow price of capital and a prima facie case for small farm credit programmes.

Suggested Citation

  • Maqbool Sial & Michael Carter, 1996. "Financial market efficiency in an Agrarian economy: Microeconometric analysis of the Pakistani Punjab," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(5), pages 771-798.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jdevst:v:32:y:1996:i:5:p:771-798
    DOI: 10.1080/00220389608422439
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    Cited by:

    1. Meilin Ma & Richard J. Sexton, 2021. "Modern agricultural value chains and the future of smallholder farming systems," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 52(4), pages 591-606, July.
    2. Unal Seven & Semih Tumen, 2020. "Agricultural Credits And Agricultural Productivity: Cross-Country Evidence," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 65(supp01), pages 161-183, December.
    3. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:15:y:2006:i:12:p:1-8 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Mukasa Adamon N. & Anthony M. Simpasa & Adeleke Oluwole Salami, 2017. "Working Paper 247 - Credit constraints and farm productivity: Micro-level evidence from smallholder farmers in Ethiopia," Working Paper Series 2356, African Development Bank.
    5. Barham, Bradford L. & Weber, Jeremy G., 2012. "The Economic Sustainability of Certified Coffee: Recent Evidence from Mexico and Peru," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 1269-1279.
    6. Omonona, Bolarin T. & Lawal, Justina Oluwayemisi & Oyinlana, A.O., 2010. "Determinants of Credit Constraint Conditions and Production Efficiency Among Farming Households in Southwestern Nigeria," 2010 AAAE Third Conference/AEASA 48th Conference, September 19-23, 2010, Cape Town, South Africa 95775, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).
    7. Catherine Guirkinger & Stephen R. Boucher, 2008. "Credit constraints and productivity in Peruvian agriculture," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 39(3), pages 295-308, November.
    8. Martin Petrick, 2005. "Empirical measurement of credit rationing in agriculture: a methodological survey," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 33(2), pages 191-203, September.
    9. Sial, Maqbool Hussain & Awan, Masood Sarwar & Waqas, Muhammad, 2011. "Role of Institutional Credit on Agricultural Production: A Time Series Analysis of Pakistan," MPRA Paper 31815, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Sung Jin Kang & Yasuyuki Sawada, 2008. "Credit Crunch And Household Welfare, The Case Of The Korean Financial Crisis," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 59(4), pages 438-458, December.
    11. Lin, Jessie & Gupta, Anubhab, 2022. "Implications of Farm Size and Staple Production on Rural and Urban Food Security and Dietary Diversity," 96th Annual Conference, April 4-6, 2022, K U Leuven, Belgium 321161, Agricultural Economics Society - AES.
    12. Marie Godquin & Manohar Sharma, 2005. "If only I could borrow more! Production and consumption credit constraints in the Philippines," Post-Print halshs-00193374, HAL.
    13. Sial, Maqbool Hussain & Awan, Masood Sarwar & Waqas, Muhammad, 2011. "Institutional credit and agricultural production nexus," MPRA Paper 30932, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2011.
    14. Phinseng Channgakham, 2006. "The effects of a fertilizer loan on dry-season rice cultivated areas in Laos," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 15(12), pages 1-8.
    15. Mark Schreiner & Jacob Yaron, 2001. "Development Finance Institutions : Measuring Their Subsidy," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 13983.
    16. A. Dada, Matthew & M. A.Posu, Sunday & N.Raheem, Abiodun & D. Owoeye, Segun & A.Oguntegbe, Abraham, 2021. "Commercial Bank Credit Flow And Economic Growth In Nigeria," Ilorin Journal of Business and Social Sciences, Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Ilorin, vol. 23(2), pages 102-121, October.
    17. Marie Godquin & Manohar Sharma, 2005. "If only I could borrow more! Production and consumption credit constraints in the Philippines," Cahiers de la Maison des Sciences Economiques bla05008, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1).
    18. J. Taylor & Irma Adelman, 2003. "Agricultural Household Models: Genesis, Evolution, and Extensions," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 1(1), pages 33-58, January.
    19. Petrick, Martin & Kloss, Mathias, 2012. "Drivers of agricultural capital productivity in selected EU member states," Working papers 132838, Factor Markets, Centre for European Policy Studies.
    20. Petrick, M., 2003. "Sind Polens Landwirte kreditrationiert? Eine mikroökonomische Analyse von Marktversagen in Transformationsprozessen," Proceedings “Schriften der Gesellschaft für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften des Landbaues e.V.”, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA), vol. 38.
    21. Diana Fletschner & Catherine Guirkinger & Steve Boucher, 2010. "Risk, Credit Constraints and Financial Efficiency in Peruvian Agriculture," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(6), pages 981-1002.
    22. Bounmy Inthakesone and Phinseng Channgakham, 2018. "The Effect of Financial Policy Reform on Poverty Reduction," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 43(4), pages 85-100, December.
    23. Heltberg, Rasmus, 1998. "Rural market imperfections and the farm size-- productivity relationship: Evidence from Pakistan," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 26(10), pages 1807-1826, October.
    24. Petrick, Martin, 2002. "Credit Rationing in the Polish Farm Sector: A Microeconometric Analysis Based on Survey Data," 2002 International Congress, August 28-31, 2002, Zaragoza, Spain 24951, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    25. Meilin Ma & Jessie Lin & Richard J. Sexton, 2022. "The Transition from Small to Large Farms in Developing Economies: A Welfare Analysis," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 104(1), pages 111-133, January.

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