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Bayesian multivariate GARCH models with dynamic correlations and asymmetric error distributions

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  • Jos� A. Fioruci
  • Ricardo S. Ehlers
  • Marinho G. Andrade Filho

Abstract

The main goal in this paper is to develop and apply stochastic simulation techniques for GARCH models with multivariate skewed distributions using the Bayesian approach. Both parameter estimation and model comparison are not trivial tasks and several approximate and computationally intensive methods (Markov chain Monte Carlo) will be used to this end. We consider a flexible class of multivariate distributions which can model both skewness and heavy tails. Also, we do not fix tail behaviour when dealing with fat tail distributions but leave it subject to inference.

Suggested Citation

  • Jos� A. Fioruci & Ricardo S. Ehlers & Marinho G. Andrade Filho, 2014. "Bayesian multivariate GARCH models with dynamic correlations and asymmetric error distributions," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(2), pages 320-331, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:japsta:v:41:y:2014:i:2:p:320-331
    DOI: 10.1080/02664763.2013.839635
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