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Explaining Interstate Trust/Distrust in Triadic Relations

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  • Chae-Han Kim

Abstract

Emotion or affect is important to understanding the current international interactions. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the relationships among interstate affects in triads. The hypotheses of structural balance, symmetry, subjectivity and objectivity are tested here. Nations are more likely to trust a target nation when the target trusts them, when their friend trusts the target, when they trust other nations in general, and when other nations in general trust the target. Their attitudes towards the target are not influenced by the fact that their enemy trusts or distrusts the target. The structural balance gives way to some dyads of imbalance. Rather, nations are unlikely to feel friendly towards an enemy of their enemy's. More than 80% of bilateral affects are correctly predicted with the other affect relations only. Some implications on the spread of anti-Americanism and on the role of mediator between two adversaries are discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Chae-Han Kim, 2007. "Explaining Interstate Trust/Distrust in Triadic Relations," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(4), pages 423-439, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:ginixx:v:33:y:2007:i:4:p:423-439
    DOI: 10.1080/03050620701681932
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Chae-Han Kim, 2005. "Reciprocity in Asymmetry: When Does Reciprocity Work?," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 1-14, January.
    2. Chae-Han Kim, 1991. "Third-Party Participation in Wars," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 35(4), pages 659-677, December.
    3. Harold Guetzkow, 1957. "Isolation and collaboration: a partial theory of inter-nation relations," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 1(1), pages 48-68, March.
    4. Frank Harary, 1961. "A structural analysis of the situation in the Middle East in 1956," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 5(2), pages 167-178, June.
    5. Jan F. Triska & David D. Finley, 1965. "Soviet - American relations: a multiple symmetry model," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 9(1), pages 37-53, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Xiaolong Zheng & Daniel Zeng & Fei-Yue Wang, 2015. "Social balance in signed networks," Information Systems Frontiers, Springer, vol. 17(5), pages 1077-1095, October.

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