IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/ecsysr/v24y2012i3p275-297.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

How Much Do Exports Contribute To China'S Income Growth?

Author

Listed:
  • Jiansuo Pei
  • Jan Oosterhaven
  • Erik Dietzenbacher

Abstract

It is a widespread belief that exports, in particular of ‘high-tech’ products, contribute much to China's income growth. This study addresses this issue by applying a structural decomposition analysis to input--output (I--O) data. We employ two extended I--O tables that distinguish processing trade from ordinary exports. The contribution of exports to the value-added growth from 2002 to 2007 is found to be overestimated by 32% when standard I--O tables are used rather than the extended I--O tables. Even more strikingly, the value-added growth that may be attributed to the exports of ‘high-tech’ telecommunication products is overestimated by no less than 63%. A serious overestimation of the contribution to income growth of certain products (such as high-tech products) sends out misleading signals to policymakers. When measured correctly, the true contribution appears to be substantially smaller than is generally believed to be.

Suggested Citation

  • Jiansuo Pei & Jan Oosterhaven & Erik Dietzenbacher, 2012. "How Much Do Exports Contribute To China'S Income Growth?," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(3), pages 275-297, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:ecsysr:v:24:y:2012:i:3:p:275-297
    DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2012.660746
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/09535314.2012.660746
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/09535314.2012.660746?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jan Oosterhaven, 2024. "A decomposition of economic growth decompositions," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 73(4), pages 1395-1408, December.
    2. Los, Bart & Timmer, Marcel P. & de Vries, Gaaitzen J., 2015. "How important are exports for job growth in China? A demand side analysis," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 19-32.
    3. Zhang, Zengkai & Duan, Yuwan & Zhang, Wei, 2019. "Economic gains and environmental costs from China's exports: Regional inequality and trade heterogeneity," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 1-1.
    4. Ling Li & Ling Tang & Junrong Zhang, 2019. "Coupling Structural Decomposition Analysis and Sensitivity Analysis to Investigate CO 2 Emission Intensity in China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-23, June.
    5. Yuwan Duan & Yanping Zhao & Jakob Haan, 2020. "Exchange Rate Pass-through in China: A Cost-Push Input-Output Price Model," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 31(3), pages 513-528, July.
    6. Yan, Bingqian & Duan, Yuwan & Wang, Shouyang, 2020. "China’s emissions embodied in exports: How regional and trade heterogeneity matter," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    7. Yuwan Duan & Erik Dietzenbacher & Bart Los & Ruochen Dai, 2023. "Regional inequality in China during its rise as a giant exporter: A value chain analysis," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 63(1), pages 148-172, January.
    8. Rohman, Ibrahim Kholilul & Bohlin, Erik, 2014. "Decomposition analysis of the telecommunications sector in Indonesia: What does the cellular era shed light on?," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 248-263.
    9. Hong, Jae Pyo & Byun, Jeong Eun & Kim, Pang Ryong, 2016. "Structural changes and growth factors of the ICT industry in Korea: 1995–2009," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 40(5), pages 502-513.
    10. repec:dgr:rugggd:gd-128 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Haoliang Zhu, 2019. "A quantitative analysis of global value chains: why has domestic value-added of China’s exports increased?," International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, Springer, vol. 13(2), pages 403-423, August.
    12. Hertwich, Edgar G., 2020. "Carbon fueling complex global value chains tripled in the period 1995–2012," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    13. Feng, Tong & Du, Huibin & Zhang, Zengkai & Mi, Zhifu & Guan, Dabo & Zuo, Jian, 2020. "Carbon transfer within China: Insights from production fragmentation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    14. Zhao, Hongyan & Zhang, Qiang & Huo, Hong & Lin, Jintai & Liu, Zhu & Wang, Haikun & Guan, Dabo & He, Kebin, 2016. "Environment-economy tradeoff for Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei’s exports," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 926-935.
    15. Duan, Yuwan & Dietzenbacher, Erik & Los, Bart & Yang, Cuihong, 2021. "How much did China's emergence as “the world's factory” contribute to its national income?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    16. Koppány, Krisztián, 2017. "A növekedés lehetőségei és kockázatai. Magyarország feldolgozóipari exportteljesítményének és ágazati szerkezetének vizsgálata, 2010-2014 [Growth opportunities and risks in Hungary's industrial mix," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(1), pages 17-53.
    17. Duan, Yuwan & Yan, Bingqian, 2021. "Has processing trade made China's exports cleaner? A regional level analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:ecsysr:v:24:y:2012:i:3:p:275-297. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/CESR20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.