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On the Determinants of Terrorism Risk Concern in Europe

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  • Konstantinos Drakos
  • Catherine Mueller

Abstract

We investigate whether differences in terrorism risk are mirrored on terrorism risk perception across European countries for the period 2003-2007. We find that the average propensity for terrorism risk concern is affected by actual risk levels. Country and individual heterogeneity contribute substantially to the variation of observed risk perception. Singles and individuals with white collar jobs are less likely to mention terrorism as one of the most pressing issues their country faces, while political positioning towards the right makes it more likely to be concerned about terrorism. As far as competing risks are concerned, we find that the likelihood terrorism is mentioned, decreases with spending on pensions as a percentage of GDP being higher. Finally, based on the Bayesian framework, we also examined the formation of terrorism risk perceptions, and decompose the observed country-level time series of terrorism activity into a long- and a short-run component. We concluded that the observed risk perception variation is only explained by the long-term trend of terrorism activity countries face.

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  • Konstantinos Drakos & Catherine Mueller, 2014. "On the Determinants of Terrorism Risk Concern in Europe," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(3), pages 291-310, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:defpea:v:25:y:2014:i:3:p:291-310
    DOI: 10.1080/10242694.2013.763472
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    Cited by:

    1. Olaf J. de Groot & Konstantinos Drakos & Cathérine Müller, 2011. "How Rational Is the Response of Individuals to the Threat of Terrorism in Europe?," EUSECON Policy Briefing 9, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    2. Economou Athina & Kollias Christos, 2015. "Terrorism and Political Self-Placement in European Union Countries," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 21(2), pages 217-238, April.
    3. Michael Brzoska & Raphael Bossong & Eric van Um, 2011. "Security Economics in the European Context: Implications of the EUSECON Project," Economics of Security Working Paper Series 58, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.

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