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Arms imports in sub-saharan Africa: Predicting conflict involvement

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  • Cassady Craft
  • Joseph Smaldone

Abstract

This paper explores relationships between the arms trade and conflict in sub-Saharan Africa from 1967 to 1997. We present a bivariate logistic regression model to explain the variance in domestic and international conflict incidence in the region. Our models indicate that the relationship between weapons transfers and war is stronger in sub-Saharan Africa than the literature on the region indicates, and should be included as an integral element in more comprehensive models of conflict. The findings have clear implications for further research and arms transfer policy toward regions of conflict.

Suggested Citation

  • Cassady Craft & Joseph Smaldone, 2003. "Arms imports in sub-saharan Africa: Predicting conflict involvement," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 37-49.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:defpea:v:14:y:2003:i:1:p:37-49
    DOI: 10.1080/10242690302933
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Paul Collier & Anke Hoeffler, 2002. "On the Incidence of Civil War in Africa," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 46(1), pages 13-28, February.
    2. E Elbadawi & N Sambanis, 2000. "Why are there so many civil wars in Africa? Understanding and preventing violent conflict," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 9(3), pages 244-269.
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    Cited by:

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