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Corporate governance and default prediction: a reality test

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  • Jayasuriya Mahapatabendige Ruwani Fernando
  • Leon Li
  • Yang (Greg) Hou

Abstract

Default prediction has commanded the attention of researchers for at least 50 years. This paper addresses several testable hypotheses regarding the relations between corporate governance and default prediction. We employ the conventional logistic regression to provide empirical evidence from U.S. default data over the period of 2000 to 2015. Empirical results are consistent with the following notions: First, default firms are associated with high ownership concentration, low shareholder rights, low financial transparency and disclosures, and less board effectiveness. Second, in-sample and out-of-sample tests support the incremental contribution of corporate governance information on default prediction, when compared with the models involving just financial information.

Suggested Citation

  • Jayasuriya Mahapatabendige Ruwani Fernando & Leon Li & Yang (Greg) Hou, 2019. "Corporate governance and default prediction: a reality test," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(24), pages 2669-2686, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:24:p:2669-2686
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1558351
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    Cited by:

    1. Peixin Li & Rongxi Zhou & Yahui Xiong, 2020. "Can ESG Performance Affect Bond Default Rate? Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-12, April.
    2. Emmanuel Anyigbah & Yusheng Kong & Bless Kofi Edziah & Ahotovi Thomas Ahoto & Wilhelmina Seyome Ahiaku, 2023. "Board Characteristics and Corporate Sustainability Reporting: Evidence from Chinese Listed Companies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-26, February.
    3. Li Mingqian, 2024. "Why Transaction Cost Economics Failed and How to Fix It," Papers 2405.09087, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
    4. A. I. Rybalka, 2020. "Relationship of Property Structure and Performance of High-Tech Technology Companies," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 31(3), pages 264-270, May.
    5. Angelo de Sousa Santarlacci & Humberto Angelo & Álvaro Nogueira de Souza & Maria de Fátima de Brito Lima & Maísa Santos Joaquim & Eder Pereira Miguel & Júlia de Oliveira Carneiro, 2024. "Benefit Sharing Governance Framework: Pathways for Financial Benefit Sharing in Traditional Communities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-24, March.
    6. Archana Saxena & Rajesh Singh & Anita Gehlot & Shaik Vaseem Akram & Bhekisipho Twala & Aman Singh & Elisabeth Caro Montero & Neeraj Priyadarshi, 2022. "Technologies Empowered Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG): An Industry 4.0 Landscape," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-17, December.
    7. Sonia Yasin & Muhammad Irfan & Muhammad Shaukat Malik & Fasiha Nargis, 2022. "The Relationship between Executive Remuneration and Organizations Efficiency," Journal of Policy Research (JPR), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 8(3), pages 59-70, December.
    8. Chunsheng Wang & Jiatong Weng & Jingshi He & Xiaopin Wang & Hong Ding & Quanxin Zhu, 2024. "Stability Analysis of the Credit Market in Supply Chain Finance Based on Stochastic Evolutionary Game Theory," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-16, June.
    9. Dongshu Jiang & ZhiXing Ni & Yuxiu Chen & Xue Chen & Chaohong Na, 2022. "Influence of Financial Shared Services on the Corporate Debt Cost under Digitalization," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-17, December.
    10. Mohamad Azwan Md Isa & Norashikin Ismail & Mohd Halim Kadri, 2024. "Sustainability Performance and Corporate Financial Stability of Shariah-Compliant Companies in Malaysia: The Moderating Effects of Ownership Concentration," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 8(14), pages 28-46, October.
    11. Citterio, Alberto, 2024. "Bank failure prediction models: Review and outlook," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    12. Thong, Lik Hong, 2019. "A discussion on performance risk of Dunkin's Brand," MPRA Paper 97266, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 30 Nov 2019.
    13. María Escribano-Navas & German Gemar, 2021. "Gender and Bankruptcy: A Hotel Survival Econometric Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-13, June.
    14. John E.H.J. FoEh & Diah Ayu Permatasari & Jhonni Sinaga, 2022. "Corporate Governance in Need of Reforms: What Areas of the System Should Be Reformed First and How?," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(4), pages 73-81.
    15. Fahad Asghar & Palwasha Farooq & Muhammad Nadim & Zain ul Abidin & Fazli Wadood, 2023. "Global Financial Crisis: A critical study on Role of Auditor’s and Stakeholder," Journal of Policy Research (JPR), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 9(2), pages 452-458.
    16. Olfa Ben Salah, 2024. "Analyzing the Causal Relationship Between Tax Avoidance and Earnings Management: Evidence from The STOXX Europe 600 Index," Journal of Accounting and Management Information Systems, Faculty of Accounting and Management Information Systems, The Bucharest University of Economic Studies, vol. 23(1), pages 29-49, January.
    17. Yuanyuan Wang & Jijie Ma & Kun Zhang, 2024. "Can digital transformation reduce corporate illegality?," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(2), pages 1090-1109, July.
    18. Quang Linh Huynh & Mohammad Enamul Hoque & Perengki Susanto & Waqas Ahmad Watto & Maryam Ashraf, 2022. "Does Financial Leverage Mediates Corporate Governance and Firm Performance?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-20, October.

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