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Is gold a weak or strong hedge and safe haven against stocks? Robust evidences from three major gold-consuming countries

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  • Arif Billah Dar
  • Debasish Maitra

Abstract

In this article, we test nexus between gold and stocks for the three major gold consumers by using the range of methodologies. First, we assess if there is any time-varying correlation between the two assets. We fail to find any significant time-varying correlation between gold and stock returns in India and the United States. Second, we attempted to investigate the safe-haven property of gold by analysing the decile-wise conditional correlation between stock returns and gold returns at different deciles of stock returns. Third, in order to test the robustness of the results drawn from the decile-wise correlation, we employ wavelet coherence in continuous wavelet framework to test the time and frequency varying nexus between the pair of assets. The range of methodologies employed seems to indicate the weak hedge and safe haven-property of gold for stocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Arif Billah Dar & Debasish Maitra, 2017. "Is gold a weak or strong hedge and safe haven against stocks? Robust evidences from three major gold-consuming countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(53), pages 5491-5503, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:53:p:5491-5503
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1310998
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    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Huseyin Ozdemir, 2021. "Dynamic return and volatility spillovers among S&P 500, crude oil, and gold," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 153-170, January.
    2. Darko Vukovic & Moinak Maiti & Zoran Grubisic & Elena M. Grigorieva & Michael Frömmel, 2021. "COVID-19 Pandemic: Is the Crypto Market a Safe Haven? The Impact of the First Wave," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-17, July.
    3. Wang, Xinya & Liu, Huifang & Huang, Shupei & Lucey, Brian, 2019. "Identifying the multiscale financial contagion in precious metal markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 209-219.
    4. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Agyemang, Abraham & Hasan Chowdhury, Md Iftekhar & Hasan, Mudassar & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2022. "Precious metals as hedge and safe haven for African stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    5. Golitsis, Petros & Gkasis, Pavlos & Bellos, Sotirios K., 2022. "Dynamic spillovers and linkages between gold, crude oil, S&P 500, and other economic and financial variables. Evidence from the USA," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    6. Wang, Xinya & Lucey, Brian & Huang, Shupei, 2022. "Can gold hedge against oil price movements: Evidence from GARCH-EVT wavelet modeling," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    7. Lei Ming & Xinran Zhang & Qianqiu Liu & Shenggang Yang, 2020. "A revisit to the hedge and safe haven properties of gold: New evidence from China," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(9), pages 1442-1456, September.
    8. Yang, Cai & Wang, Xinyi & Gao, Wang, 2022. "Is Bitcoin a better hedging and safe-haven investment than traditional assets against currencies? Evidence from the time-frequency domain approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    9. Shah, Adil Ahmad & Paul, Manas & Bhanja, Niyati & Dar, Arif Billah, 2021. "Dynamics of connectedness across crude oil, precious metals and exchange rate: Evidence from time and frequency domains," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    10. Paul, Manas & Bhanja, Niyati & Dar, Arif Billah, 2019. "Gold, gold mining stocks and equities- partial wavelet coherence evidence from developed countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 378-384.
    11. Walid Mensi & Debasish Maitra & Refk Selmi & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2023. "Extreme dependencies and spillovers between gold and stock markets: evidence from MENA countries," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-27, December.
    12. Qin, Meng & Su, Chi-Wei & Tao, Ran & Umar, Muhammad, 2020. "Is factionalism a push for gold price?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    13. Jambotkar Mrunali Manohar & Guntur Anjana Raju, 2021. "An Assessment of Gold as a Hedge or Safe Haven: Evidence from Major Gold Producing Countries," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 11(7), pages 524-533, July.
    14. Ghulam Mujtaba & Asima Siddique & Nader Naifar & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2024. "Hedge and safe haven role of commodities for the US and Chinese equity markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 2381-2414, April.
    15. Wang, Xinya & Xu, Xin & Rong, Xueyun & Xuan, Siyuan, 2024. "Identification of the contagion effect in China's financial market uncertainties: A multiscale and dynamic perspective," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 1340-1362.
    16. Mokni, Khaled & Youssef, Manel & Ajmi, Ahdi Noomen, 2022. "COVID-19 pandemic and economic policy uncertainty: The first test on the hedging and safe haven properties of cryptocurrencies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    17. Dar, Arif Billah & Bhanja, Niyati & Paul, Manas, 2019. "Do gold mining stocks behave like gold or equities? Evidence from the UK and the US," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 369-384.
    18. Paul, Manas & Bhanja, Niyati & Dar, Arif Billah, 2023. "On the similarities between precious metals, precious metal stocks and equities – International evidence for gold and silver," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    19. I. Sahadudheen & P. K. Santhosh Kumar, 2023. "On the Time-varying Correlations and Hedging Effectiveness: An Analysis of Crude Oil, Gold, and Stock Market," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(6), pages 353-363, November.
    20. Wang, Gang-Jin & Ma, Xin-yu & Wu, Hao-yu, 2020. "Are stablecoins truly diversifiers, hedges, or safe havens against traditional cryptocurrencies as their name suggests?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    21. Hoque, Mohammad Enamul & Billah, Mabruk & Alam, Md Rafayet & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2024. "Gold-backed cryptocurrencies: A hedging tool against categorical and regional financial stress," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    22. Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Mensi, Walid & Maitra, Debasish & Al-Jarrah, Idries Mohammad Wanas, 2019. "Portfolio management and dependencies among precious metal markets: Evidence from a Copula quantile-on-quantile approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).

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