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Modelling price transmission and volatility spillover in the Slovenian wheat market

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  • Islam Hassouneh
  • Teresa Serra
  • Štefan Bojnec
  • José M. Gil

Abstract

Interdependence between first and second moments of producer and consumer wheat prices in Slovenia is assessed, in light of the recent major historical events that the country has undergone, as well as the recent rumours of cartel agreements between millers causing a decline in farm-gate prices, while leaving consumer prices untouched. A threshold vector error correction and multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model with exogenous variables is applied. Results indicate that price-level adjustments mainly favour retailers by increasing their marketing margins. Important second-moment interactions are also identified. Increases in international wheat stocks reduce producer prices, while higher interest rates increase their instability.

Suggested Citation

  • Islam Hassouneh & Teresa Serra & Štefan Bojnec & José M. Gil, 2017. "Modelling price transmission and volatility spillover in the Slovenian wheat market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(41), pages 4116-4126, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:41:p:4116-4126
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1276273
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    Cited by:

    1. Federico Antonioli & Monia Ben Kaabia & Filippo Arfini & José M. Gil, 2019. "Price transmission dynamics for quality‐certified food products: A comparison between conventional and organic fluid milk in Italy," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(3), pages 374-393, July.
    2. Waqar Badshah & Mehmet Bulut, 2020. "Model Selection Procedures in Bounds Test of Cointegration: Theoretical Comparison and Empirical Evidence," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-23, June.
    3. Sanghyo Kim & Carl Zulauf, 2019. "Crowding out of private stocks by public stocks," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 65(11), pages 520-528.
    4. Gökhan Cebiroğlu & Kujtim Avdiu & Stephan Unger, 2022. "On the dynamic price pass-through effect of commodities to CPI constituents," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(3), pages 1-12, March.
    5. Hugo Ferrer-Pérez & Fadi Abdelradi & José M. Gil, 2020. "Geographical Indications and Price Volatility Dynamics of Lamb Prices in Spain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-17, April.
    6. Juan M. C. Larrosa & Leandro Meller & Juan I. Uriarte & Gonzalo R. Ramírez Muñoz de Toro, 2023. "Retail coffee pricing dynamics in Argentina," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(8), pages 1-21, August.
    7. Romain Menier & Guillaume Bagnarosa & Alexandre Gohin, 2024. "On the dependence structure of European vegetable oil markets," Post-Print hal-04523660, HAL.
    8. Kristína Hudecová & Miroslava Rajčániová, 2023. "The impact of geopolitical risk on agricultural commodity prices," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 69(4), pages 129-139.

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