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IPOs’ signalling effects for speculative stock detection: evidence from the Stock Exchange of Thailand

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  • Kulabutr Komenkul
  • Mohamed Sherif
  • Bing Xu

Abstract

Using a unique data set from the Thai stock market about the so-called, ‘Turnover List (TOL)’ of speculative stocks spanning the period 2004–2012, we investigate and provide new evidence on the relationship between IPOs’ pricing effects and subsequent classification as speculative investments. To be more specific, we examine the signalling effects for the detection of speculative stocks in relation to the degree of their prior IPOs underpricing. We also employ the market-feedback hypothesis to investigate this signalling process. Our results reveal a significant positive relationship between the magnitudes of the IPO underpricing and the probability of an IPO firm being classified officially as speculative on the TOL. Furthermore, we find that a 6-month abnormal return after going public increases the probability of speculative dealing in the IPOs. Next, we consider all listed firms in the Thai stock market and highlight the role of both abnormal return and trading volume in the transmission of probability for appearing on the TOL. In addition, we find that IPOs and non-dividend paying companies further increase the risk of being on the TOL.

Suggested Citation

  • Kulabutr Komenkul & Mohamed Sherif & Bing Xu, 2017. "IPOs’ signalling effects for speculative stock detection: evidence from the Stock Exchange of Thailand," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(31), pages 3067-3085, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:31:p:3067-3085
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1254338
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    Cited by:

    1. Kanis Saengchote & Jananya Sthienchoak, 2020. "Mutual Fund Participation in IPOs: Thai Evidence," PIER Discussion Papers 131, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    2. Saengchote, Kanis & Sthienchoak, Jananya, 2020. "Strategic participation in IPOs by affiliated mutual funds: Thai evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    3. Yaakub, Nurwahida & Sherif, Mohamed, 2019. "Performance of initial public offerings (IPOs): the case of Shariah-compliant companies," Islamic Economic Studies, The Islamic Research and Training Institute (IRTI), vol. 27, pages 65-76.
    4. Abdul WAHID & Muhammad Zubair MUMTAZ & Edmund H. MANTELL, 2020. "Short-Run Pricing Performance of Local and Dual Class IPOs in Alternative Investment Market," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 57-74, March.
    5. Nurwahida Yaakub & Mohamed Sherif & Roszaini Haniffa, 2018. "The Post-issue Market Performance of Initial Public Offerings: Empirical Evidence from the Malaysian Stock Markets," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 17(3_suppl), pages 376-414, December.

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