IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/applec/v49y2017i1p33-50.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Asymmetric causality between Australian inbound and outbound tourism flows

Author

Listed:
  • Abbas Valadkhani
  • Russell Smyth
  • Barry O’Mahony

Abstract

We employ the asymmetric version of the Granger causality test to assess how Australian inbound and outbound tourism flows across 49 markets (countries) are driven by the sign-dependent variations in departure series or vice versa. A multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (MGARCH) model is also estimated to study the time-varying co-volatility between inbound and outbound tourism growth rates. We find that rising co-volatility spillovers between inbound and outbound tourism are statistically significant for a number of markets. The six markets that are most susceptible to global shocks are China, Hong Kong, Papua New Guinea, Singapore, South Africa and the United Kingdom. China is by far the largest of these markets and, except for the United Kingdom, both arrivals and departures for each of these countries represent growing markets for Australia. We present recommendations for policymakers and destination management organizations (DMOs) to assist in developing customized strategies targeting resilient inbound markets in order to optimize tourism performance and reduce potential losses in times of crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Abbas Valadkhani & Russell Smyth & Barry O’Mahony, 2017. "Asymmetric causality between Australian inbound and outbound tourism flows," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(1), pages 33-50, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:1:p:33-50
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1189508
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1189508
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/00036846.2016.1189508?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hyunduk Suh & Sung-Bum Kim, 2018. "The Macroeconomic Determinants of International Casino Travel: Evidence from South Korea’s Top Four Inbound Markets," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-18, February.
    2. Chang, C-L. & Hsu, S.-H. & McAleer, M.J., 2018. "Risk Spillovers in Returns for Chinese and International Tourists to Taiwan," Econometric Institute Research Papers 18-031/III, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
    3. Xu Huang & Emmanuel Silva & Hossein Hassani, 2018. "Causality between Oil Prices and Tourist Arrivals," Stats, MDPI, vol. 1(1), pages 1-21, October.
    4. Sevinc ASLAN & Mithat Zeki DİNCER, 2018. "A Conceptual Framework of Visiting Friends and Relatives," Journal of Tourismology, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 4(1), pages 21-34, June.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:1:p:33-50. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/RAEC20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.