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Economic benefits of using realized covariance forecasts in risk-based portfolios

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  • Prateek Sharma
  • Vipul

Abstract

This article examines the economic benefit of using the realized covariance matrix forecasts, for constructing the risk-based portfolios. We use the two-scale realized covariance estimator (TSC), the jump robust two-scale realized covariance estimator (RTSC) and the realized bipower covariance estimator (BPC), to forecast the daily realized covariance matrix. Using these covariance matrix forecasts, we implement three risk-based portfolios: the global minimum variance portfolio, the equal risk contribution portfolio and the most diversified portfolio. There is evidence that the portfolio performance improves by using TSC or RTSC estimators as compared to the daily-returns-based estimator. The performance gains are robust to the choice of risk-based portfolio strategy, the degree of investor's relative risk-aversion, the market conditions and the choice of time intervals.

Suggested Citation

  • Prateek Sharma & Vipul, 2016. "Economic benefits of using realized covariance forecasts in risk-based portfolios," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(6), pages 502-516, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:6:p:502-516
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1083086
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    Cited by:

    1. Prateek Sharma & Vipul, 2018. "Improving portfolio diversification: Identifying the right baskets for putting your eggs," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 698-711, September.
    2. Luo, Jiawen & Chen, Langnan, 2020. "Realized volatility forecast with the Bayesian random compressed multivariate HAR model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 781-799.
    3. Qu, Hui & Zhang, Yi, 2022. "Asymmetric multivariate HAR models for realized covariance matrix: A study based on volatility timing strategies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    4. Jiawen Luo & Langnan Chen, 2019. "Multivariate realized volatility forecasts of agricultural commodity futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(12), pages 1565-1586, December.

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