IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/applec/v48y2016i51p4922-4941.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Convergence and spillover of house prices in Chinese cities

Author

Listed:
  • William W. Chow
  • Michael K. Fung
  • Arnold C. S. Cheng

Abstract

The issue of house price convergence in 34 Chinese cities is investigated. We augmented the convergence model with contemporaneous spatial dependence in house prices and found that price convergence and positive spatial spillover are both present. We explicitly addressed the endogeneity problem by introducing a Bayesian instrumental variable setup, which was estimated with particle filtering techniques. From a growth poles perspective, the empirical evidence indicates that the spread effect in regional house prices outweighs the backwash effect. The identified positive spatial spillover has two effects on the growth of house prices in Chinese cities. First, the spillover elevates the trajectories of the steady-state growth paths of house prices. Second, the spillover narrows the gaps between the growth paths of house prices in neighbouring cities. Shocks to the socio-economic variables of a city generate their own effects on domestic house prices that dominate the effects arising from cross-city price feedbacks, thus mitigating the prospect of level convergence. Our findings also suggest a collaborating role between time and spatial dependence parameters. The identification of inter-city spillover, which is a conditioning factor for regional house price convergence, offers implications to policies that are most likely to be effective in reducing regional disparity.

Suggested Citation

  • William W. Chow & Michael K. Fung & Arnold C. S. Cheng, 2016. "Convergence and spillover of house prices in Chinese cities," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(51), pages 4922-4941, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:51:p:4922-4941
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1167829
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1167829
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/00036846.2016.1167829?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ling Zhang & He Wang & Yan Song & Haizhen Wen, 2019. "Spatial Spillover of House Prices: An Empirical Study of the Yangtze Delta Urban Agglomeration in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-17, January.
    2. Mustafa Çakır, 2023. "Regional inflation spillovers in Turkey," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 959-980, April.
    3. Yu, Qing & Hui, Eddie Chi-Man & Shen, Jianfu, 2023. "Do local governments capitalise on the spillover effect in the housing market? Quasi-experimental evidence from house purchase restrictions in China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    4. Xiaoguang Liu & Jian Yu & Tsun Se Cheong & Michal Wojewodzki, 2022. "The Future Evolution of Housing Price-to-Income Ratio in 171 Chinese Cities," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 23(1), pages 159-196, May.
    5. Lu Liu & Linda Qiu & Yuanyuan Yang, 2022. "Urban housing prices within a core urban agglomeration in China," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(11), pages 1-38, November.
    6. Cheng-Wen Lee & Shu-Hen Chiang & Zhong-Qin Wen, 2023. "Pursuing the Sustainability of Real Estate Market: The Case of Chinese Land Resources Diversification," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-19, March.
    7. Tomal Mateusz, 2020. "Spillovers across House Price Convergence Clubs: Evidence from the Polish Housing Market," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, vol. 28(2), pages 13-20, June.
    8. Tomal Mateusz, 2019. "House Price Convergence on the Primary and Secondary Markets: Evidence from Polish Provincial Capitals," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, vol. 27(4), pages 62-73, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:51:p:4922-4941. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/RAEC20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.