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The J-curve: evidence from commodity trade between UK and China

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  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee
  • Ruixin Zhang

Abstract

China is often accused of manipulating its currency to gain international competitiveness. Previous studies have tried to address this issue by investigating the impact of yuan depreciation on China's trade balance. Not only have they failed to establish the link between the Chinese exchange rate and its trade balance with the rest of the world but also between China and her major trading partners. In this article, we consider the China--UK trade balance and disaggregate their trade flows by commodity. Out of the 47 industries considered, we show that the real depreciation has favourable short-run effects in most industries. However, the short-run effects last into the long run only in seven cases.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Ruixin Zhang, 2013. "The J-curve: evidence from commodity trade between UK and China," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(31), pages 4369-4378, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:31:p:4369-4378
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.783680
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Niloy Bose & Yun Zhang, 2019. "An asymmetric analysis of the J‐curve effect in the commodity trade between China and the US," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(10), pages 2854-2899, October.
    2. David Fadiran & Hammed Amusa, 2019. "The J–Curve Phenomenon: Evidence from Commodity Trade Between South Africa and the United States," Working Papers 777, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    3. Sayeeda Bano & Gazi Hassan, 2018. "An Empirical Examination of the J-Curve: New Zealand's Bilateral Trade with Selected Countries," Working Papers in Economics 18/05, University of Waikato.
    4. Stefano Lucarelli & Filippo Umberto Andrini & Annamaria Bianchi, 2018. "Euro depreciation and trade asymmetries between Germany and Italy versus the US: industry-level estimates," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(1), pages 15-34, January.
    5. Prakash, Kushneel & Maiti, Dibyendu, 2016. "Does devaluation improve trade balance in small island economies? The case of Fiji," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 382-393.
    6. Bilal KARGI, 2014. "Time Series Analysis about the Relationship between Foreign Trade and Exchange Rate in Turkish Economy," Timisoara Journal of Economics and Business, West University of Timisoara, Romania, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 7(2), pages 123-133, December.
    7. Hafsa Hina, 2020. "Correction of Trade Deficit through Depreciation - A Misdirected Policy: An Empirical Evidence from Pakistan," PIDE-Working Papers 2020:24, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.
    8. Khyati Kathuria & Nand Kumar, 2022. "Are exports and imports of India’s trading partners cointegrated? Evidence from Fourier bootstrap ARDL procedure," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 1177-1191, March.
    9. Javed Iqbal & Sitara Jabeen & Misbah Nosheen & Mark Wohar, 2024. "The Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Pakistan–Japan Commodity Trade: Evidence from Non-linear ARDL Approach," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(3), pages 657-732, September.
    10. Andrew Ojede, 2015. "Exchange Rate Shocks and U.S. Services and Agricultural Exports: Which Export Sector is More Affected?," The International Trade Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(3), pages 228-250, August.
    11. Hafsa Hina, 2021. "What Do We Know of Trade Elasticities?," PIDE Knowledge Brief 2021:30, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.
    12. Gobbi, Lucio & Lucarelli, Stefano, 2022. "Pound Sterling depreciation and the UK's trade balance versus the USA's: Industry-level estimates," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 206-220.

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