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Long-run relations and short-run dynamics among coal, natural gas and oil prices

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  • Hassan Mohammadi

Abstract

We examine the long-run relations and short-run dynamics among the three primary energy prices-coal, natural gas and crude oil-using the annual and monthly US data for the post-1970 period. The results are consistent with the view that oil prices are determined globally; natural gas prices are determined regionally and coal prices are set by long-term contracts.

Suggested Citation

  • Hassan Mohammadi, 2011. "Long-run relations and short-run dynamics among coal, natural gas and oil prices," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(2), pages 129-137.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:2:p:129-137
    DOI: 10.1080/00036840802446606
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    Cited by:

    1. Olsson, Olle & Hillring, Bengt, 2014. "The wood fuel market in Denmark – Price development, market efficiency and internationalization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 141-148.
    2. Zou, Gao Lu, 2012. "The long-term relationships among China's energy consumption sources and adjustments to its renewable energy policy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 456-467.
    3. Germán G. Creamer & Tal Ben-Zvi, 2021. "Volatility and Risk in the Energy Market: A Trade Network Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-17, September.
    4. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2018. "On the interdependence of natural gas and stock markets under structural breaks," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 149-161.
    5. Wamiliana Wamiliana & Edwin Russel & Iskandar Ali Alam & Widiarti Widiarti & Tuti Hairani & Mustofa Usman, 2024. "Modeling and Forecasting Closing Prices of some Coal Mining Companies in Indonesia by Using the VAR(3)-BEKK GARCH(1,1) Model," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(1), pages 579-591, January.
    6. Kentaka Aruga & Shunsuke Managi, 2013. "Linkages among the US energy futures markets," International Journal of Global Energy Issues, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 36(1), pages 13-26.
    7. Lv Chen & Lingying Pan & Kaige Zhang, 2024. "The Dynamic Cointegration Relationship between International Crude Oil, Natural Gas, and Coal Price," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(13), pages 1-14, June.
    8. Jerzy Rembeza, 2020. "Coal Prices in Poland: Is the Domestic Market Separated from the International Market?," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(4), pages 405-410.
    9. Li, Fengyun & Li, Xingmei & Zheng, Haofeng & Yang, Fei & Dang, Ruinan, 2021. "How alternative energy competition shocks natural gas development in China: A novel time series analysis approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    10. Wiggins, Seth & Etienne, Xiaoli, 2015. "US Natural Gas Price Determination: Fundamentals and the Development of Shale," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205788, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    11. Yang, Hao-Chang & Feng, Gen-Fu & Zhao, Xin Xin & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2022. "The impacts of energy insecurity on green innovation: A multi-country study," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 139-154.
    12. Hongtao Ren & Wenji Zhou & Hangzhou Wang & Bo Zhang & Tieju Ma, 2022. "An energy system optimization model accounting for the interrelations of multiple stochastic energy prices," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 316(1), pages 555-579, September.
    13. Raymond Li & David C. Broadstock, 2021. "Coal Pricing in China: Is It a Bit Too Crude?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-13, June.
    14. Drachal, Krzysztof, 2018. "Comparison between Bayesian and information-theoretic model averaging: Fossil fuels prices example," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 208-251.
    15. Tri Wahyu Adi, 2022. "The International Gas and Crude Oil Price Variability Effect on Indonesian Coal Mining Companies Listed at IDX," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(5), pages 1-10, September.
    16. Alameer, Zakaria & Fathalla, Ahmed & Li, Kenli & Ye, Haiwang & Jianhua, Zhang, 2020. "Multistep-ahead forecasting of coal prices using a hybrid deep learning model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    17. Guo, Yanfeng & Zhao, Huanyu, 2024. "Volatility spillovers between oil and coal prices and its implications for energy portfolio management in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 446-457.
    18. Ye Xue & Yiting Huang, 2017. "Study on the price co-movement among the Asia Pacific, European and Chinese coal markets – based on the empirical analysis of MS-VEC model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(7), pages 693-701, February.
    19. Potts, Todd B. & Yerger, David B., 2016. "Marcellus Shale and structural breaks in oil and gas markets: The case of Pennsylvania," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 50-58.
    20. Gormus, N. Alper & Soytas, Ugur & Diltz, J. David, 2014. "Volatility transmission between energy-related asset classes," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 246-259.
    21. Wang, Xiaoyu & Wang, Jiaojiao & Wang, Wenhuan & Zhang, Shuquan, 2023. "International and Chinese energy markets: Dynamic spillover effects," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).

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