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Financial market and housing wealth effects on consumption: a permanent income approach

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  • Arnold Cheng
  • Michael Fung

Abstract

The objective of this study is to examine the financial market and housing wealth effects on consumption. Housing has the dual functions as both a commodity yielding a flow of housing services and an investment asset yielding a flow of capital income. With the construction of an empirical framework based on the vector autoregression approach, the findings from this study suggest that a rise in housing price has both a positive wealth effect and a negative price effect on consumption. While the positive wealth effect is caused by an increase in capital income, the negative price effect is caused by an increase in the cost of housing services. In addition, the housing market wealth effect increases, at the expense of the price effect, with the level of housing-market leverage. These findings imply that the government policy of land supply aiming to stimulate the economy should strike a balance between the possible wealth and price effects of the housing market.

Suggested Citation

  • Arnold Cheng & Michael Fung, 2008. "Financial market and housing wealth effects on consumption: a permanent income approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(23), pages 3029-3038.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:23:p:3029-3038
    DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994021
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. John Muellbauer & Anthony Murphy, 1994. "Explaining regional consumption in the UK," Working Papers 199429, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
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    Cited by:

    1. Vittorio Peretti & Rangan Gupta & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2012. "Do House Prices Impact Consumption and Interest Rate in South Africa? Evidence from a Time-Varying Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201216, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. de Bondt, Gabe & Gieseck, Arne & Zekaite, Zivile & Herrero, Pablo, 2019. "Disaggregate income and wealth effects in the largest euro area countries," Working Paper Series 2343, European Central Bank.
    3. Jonathan Spiteri & Philip Brockdorff, 2023. "Household Wealth and Inheritance Transfers: Evidence from the Euro Area," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 619-633, September.
    4. Dimitrios Sideris & Georgia Pavlou, 2021. "Disaggregate income and wealth effects on private consumption in Greece," Working Papers 293, Bank of Greece.
    5. Hamed Ghiaie, 2018. "Shadow Bank run, Housing and Credit Market: The Story of a Recession," THEMA Working Papers 2018-01, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
    6. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta & Manoel Bittencourt, 2013. "The Impact of House Prices on Consumption in South Africa: Evidence from Provincial-Level Panel VARs," Housing Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(8), pages 1133-1154, November.
    7. Zhe Song & Chen Hao, 2022. "Housing price and criminal crime in China: direct and indirect influence," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(40), pages 4647-4663, August.
    8. Bing Zuo & Zhaoqi Lai, 2020. "The effect of housing wealth on tourism consumption in China: Age and generation cohort comparisons," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(2), pages 211-232, March.
    9. Zhao, Mengxue & Yuan, Zhihang & Chan, Hon S., 2023. "Housing wealth and household carbon emissions: The role of homeownership in China," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    10. Mobeen Ur Rehman & Sajid Ali & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2020. "Asymmetric Nonlinear Impact of Oil Prices and Inflation on Residential Property Prices: a Case of US, UK and Canada," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 39-54, June.

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