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Towards credibility from inflation targeting: the Brazilian experience

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  • Helder de Mendonca

Abstract

This article analyses the use of the basic interest rate after the adoption of inflation targeting in Brazil and the credibility of this monetary regime through two indices that consider the Cukierman and Meltzer (1986) definition for credibility. It also shows the main theoretical and practical motives for changes in the conduction of the monetary policy in the 1970s; the way that inflation targeting strategy is inserted in rules vs. discretion analysis; and the main points that characterize the literature concerning inflation targeting. The findings denote that the strategy implemented in Brazil is not a good mechanism to develop credibility.

Suggested Citation

  • Helder de Mendonca, 2007. "Towards credibility from inflation targeting: the Brazilian experience," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(20), pages 2599-2615.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:20:p:2599-2615
    DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707324
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Helder Ferreira de Mendonça & Manoel Carlos de Castro Pires, 2010. "Gradualism in monetary policy and fiscal equilibrium," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 37(3), pages 327-342, August.
    2. Helder Ferreira de Mendonca & Rubens Teixeira da Silva, 2009. "Fiscal effect from inflation targeting: the Brazilian experience," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(7), pages 885-897.
    3. Khemiri, Rim & Ali, Mohamed Sami Ben, 2012. "Exchange rate pass-through and inflation dynamics in Tunisia: A Markov-Switching approach," Economics Discussion Papers 2012-39, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    4. Philip Arestis & Fernando Ferrari-Filho & Luiz Fernando de Paula, 2011. "Inflation targeting in Brazil," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(2), pages 127-148.
    5. Montes, Gabriel Caldas & Tiberto, Bruno Pires, 2012. "Macroeconomic environment, country risk and stock market performance: Evidence for Brazil," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 1666-1678.
    6. Helder Ferreira de Mendonça & Marcio Pereira Duarte Nunes, 2011. "Public debt and risk premium," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 38(2), pages 203-217, May.
    7. de Mendonça, Helder Ferreira & de Guimarães e Souza, Gustavo José, 2009. "Inflation targeting credibility and reputation: The consequences for the interest rate," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 1228-1238, November.
    8. Helder Ferreira de Mendonça & Délio José Cordeiro Galvão & Renato Falci Villela Loures, 2011. "Economic Activity and Financial Institutional Risk: an empirical analysis for the Brazilian banking industry," Working Papers Series 243, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    9. Helder Ferreira de Mendonça & José Simao Filho, 2008. "Macroeconomic Effects of Central Bank Transparency: The Case of Brazil," Cato Journal, Cato Journal, Cato Institute, vol. 28(1), pages 117-137, Winter.
    10. de Mendonça, Helder Ferreira & de Guimarães e Souza, Gustavo José, 2012. "Is inflation targeting a good remedy to control inflation?," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(2), pages 178-191.
    11. Gabriel Caldas Montes & Caroline Cabral Machado, 2013. "Credibility and the credit channel transmission of monetary policy theoretical model and econometric analysis for Brazil," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 40(4), pages 469-492, August.
    12. Gabriel Caldas Montes & Caroline Cabral Machado, 2013. "Credibility and the credit channel transmission of monetary policy theoretical model and econometric analysis for Brazil," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 40(4), pages 469-492, August.
    13. Helder Ferreira de Mendonça, 2009. "Output‐inflation and unemployment‐inflation trade‐offs under inflation targeting," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 36(1), pages 66-82, January.
    14. Montes, Gabriel Caldas, 2013. "Credibility and monetary transmission channels under inflation targeting: An econometric analysis from a developing country," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 670-684.
    15. Helder Mendonça & Renato Villela Loures, 2009. "Market discipline in the Brazilian banking industry: an analysis for the subordinated debt holders," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 286-307, December.
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