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Testing the quantity theory of money in Greece

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  • Costas Karfakis

Abstract

This paper tests two monetarist hypotheses on the Greek data: (1) the predictability of income velocity of money; and (2) the proportionality postulate between nominal income (or, prices) and money. The unit root tests with structural breaks show that the velocity of narrow money can be characterized as a stationary process. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration indicates that the proportionality postulate between nominal income (or, prices) and money is supported by the data. This evidence suggests that shocks which affect the money supply are reflected in the nominal income (or, prices) in a similar way, thus velocity will not fluctuate widely and its movements will be predictable.

Suggested Citation

  • Costas Karfakis, 2002. "Testing the quantity theory of money in Greece," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(5), pages 583-587.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:5:p:583-587
    DOI: 10.1080/00036840110070014
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    Cited by:

    1. Özgür Aslan & Levent Korap, 2007. "Testing Quantity Theory of Money for the Turkish Economy," Journal of BRSA Banking and Financial Markets, Banking Regulation and Supervision Agency, vol. 1(2), pages 93-109.
    2. Ziotis, Nikolaos & Papadas, Christos T., 2011. "Supply of Money and Food Prices: The Case of Greece," Agricultural Economics Review, Greek Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 12(1).
    3. Alimi, R. Santos, 2012. "The Quantity Theory of Money and Its Long Run Implications: Empirical Evidence from Nigeria," MPRA Paper 49598, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Athanasios L. Athanasenas & Constantinos Katrakilidis, 2008. "An Eclectic Causality Model for Income Growth: Evidence from Greece," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1-2), pages 31-46.
    5. Costas Karfakis, 2004. "Testing the quantity theory of money in Greece: reply to Ozmen," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(9), pages 541-543.
    6. Erdan Ozmen, 2003. "Testing The Quantity Theory of Money in Greece: A Note," ERC Working Papers 0310, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Oct 2003.
    7. Serdar Ongan, Ismet Gocer, Ayse Ongan, 2022. "Revisiting the quantity theory of money in Euro Area: the case of Greece," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 19(1), pages 63-77, June.
    8. Huang, Jr-Tsung & Hwang, Yu-Ning & Lo, Kuang-Ta, 2014. "The Role of Foreign Direct Investment in Shanghai's Real Estate Price - Culprit or Scapegoat?," AGI Working Paper Series 2014-02, Asian Growth Research Institute.
    9. Levent, Korap, 2008. "Long-run relations between money, prices and output: the case of Turkey," MPRA Paper 20265, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Lei Wang & Provash Kumer Sarker & Elie Bouri, 2023. "Short- and Long-Term Interactions Between Bitcoin and Economic Variables: Evidence from the US," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(4), pages 1305-1330, April.
    11. Levent, Korap, 2009. "The search for co-integration between money, prices and income: low frequency evidence from the Turkish economy," MPRA Paper 19557, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Sébastien Charles & Jonathan Marie, 2020. "A Note on the Competing Causes of High Inflation in Bulgaria during the 1990s: Money Supply or Exchange Rate?," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(3), pages 433-443, July.
    13. Serdar Ongan, Ismet Gocer, Ayse Ongan, 2022. "Revisiting the quantity theory of money in Euro Area: the case of Greece," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 19(1), pages 63-77, June.
    14. Erdal Ozmen, 2003. "Testing the quantity theory of money in Greece," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(15), pages 971-974.
    15. Bazoumana Ouattara, 2006. "Aid, debt and fiscal policies in Senegal," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(8), pages 1105-1122.
    16. Karagiannis, Stelios & Panagopoulos, Yannis & Vlamis, Prodromos, 2010. "Interest rate pass-through in Europe and the US: Monetary policy after the financial crisis," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 323-338, May.

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