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A dynamic analysis of fiscal pressure and demographic transition

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  • I. Luski
  • J. Weinblatt

Abstract

In this paper, the effects of demographic changes, particularly in the age structure of population, on government social expenditure is estimated. The results indicate that income elasticity of government social services is unitary in high income countries and above that level in low income countries, especially in education and welfare. The paper attempts also to forecast the pressure of these government outlays in four distinct countries characterized by different demographic parameters.

Suggested Citation

  • I. Luski & J. Weinblatt, 1998. "A dynamic analysis of fiscal pressure and demographic transition," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(11), pages 1431-1442.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:11:p:1431-1442
    DOI: 10.1080/000368498324788
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kristov, Lorenzo & Lindert, Peter & McClelland, Robert, 1992. "Pressure groups and redistribution," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 135-163, July.
    2. Easterly, William & Rebelo, Sergio, 1993. "Fiscal policy and economic growth: An empirical investigation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 417-458, December.
    3. Lindert Peter H., 1994. "The Rise of Social Spending, 1880-1930," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 1-37, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Yun, Wong Sing, 2021. "Impact of Demographical Structural Change on Public Health Care Expenditure in Malaysia," Asian Journal of Applied Economics, Kasetsart University, Center for Applied Economics Research, vol. 28(2).
    2. Mateo Zokalj, 2016. "The impact of population aging on public finance in the European Union," Financial Theory and Practice, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 40(4), pages 383-412.
    3. International Monetary Fund, 2007. "Romania: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2007/220, International Monetary Fund.

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