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Real exchange rate targeting and inflation in Indonesia: theory and empirical evidence

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  • Reza Yamora Siregar

Abstract

Looking at the period of January 1987 to July 1995, this study shows that the monetary authority in Indonesia had actively intervened the foreign exchange market to ensure the stability of rupiah real exchange rate. Strong evidences of real exchange rate targeting were even more significant during the period of January 1990-February 1993. The study also shows that the real exchange rate targeting policy in Indonesia had been inflationary, particularly during the period of January 1990-July 1995. The last finding supports the results of early studies that showed exchange rate policy which targets a faster rate of depreciation of the domestic currency contributes to a higher inflation rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Reza Yamora Siregar, 1999. "Real exchange rate targeting and inflation in Indonesia: theory and empirical evidence," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(4), pages 329-336.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:9:y:1999:i:4:p:329-336
    DOI: 10.1080/096031099332212
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    1. Calvo, Guillermo A. & Reinhart, Carmen M. & Vegh, Carlos A., 1995. "Targeting the real exchange rate: theory and evidence," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(1), pages 97-133, June.
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    6. Calvo, Guillermo A. & Reinhart, Carmen M. & Vegh, Carlos A., 1995. "Targeting the real exchange rate: theory and evidence," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(1), pages 97-133, June.
    7. Jeffrey A. Frankel, 1993. "On Exchange Rates," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262061546, April.
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    1. Ren, F. & Zheng, B. & Lin, H. & Wen, L.Y. & Trimper, S., 2005. "Persistence probabilities of the German DAX and Shanghai Index," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 350(2), pages 439-450.
    2. Ramkishen S. Rajan & Reza Siregar & Iman Sugema, 2003. "Why was there a precrisis capital inflow boom in Southeast Asia?," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(3), pages 265-283.
    3. Ramos-Herrera, María del Carmen & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simón, 2023. "Economic growth and deviations from the equilibrium exchange rate," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 764-786.
    4. Reza Siregar, 2011. "The Concepts of Equilibrium Exchange Rate: A Survey of Literature," Staff Papers, South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre, number sp81, April.
    5. Ms. Uma Ramakrishnan & Mr. Athanasios Vamvakidis, 2002. "Forecasting Inflation in Indonesia," IMF Working Papers 2002/111, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Alssadek, Marwan & Benhin, James, 2021. "Oil boom, exchange rate and sectoral output: An empirical analysis of Dutch disease in oil-rich countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    7. Reza Siregar & Victor Pontines, 2005. "Incidence of Speculative Attacks on Rupiah During the Pre- and Post- 1997 Financial Crisis," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers 2005-07, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy.

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