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Can you capitalize on the turn-of-the-year effect?

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  • S. Beyer
  • L. Garcia-Feijoo
  • G. R. Jensen

Abstract

Previous research identifies evidence of a strong seasonal pattern in returns, whereby returns are systematically higher in January. The most widely advanced explanation for this turn-of-the-year (or January) effect relies on tax-based trading; however, researchers have proposed a variety of alternative explanations. The relevance of the January effect for investors has been questioned due to the inconsistency in the phenomenon. We find evidence indicating that a strategy that targets small, out-of-favour stocks allows investors to achieve superior performance in January. Furthermore, we find that market indicators can be used to improve the consistency of the strategy. Finally, we advance a theory to explain the observed superior performance of the proposed investment strategy.

Suggested Citation

  • S. Beyer & L. Garcia-Feijoo & G. R. Jensen, 2013. "Can you capitalize on the turn-of-the-year effect?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(18), pages 1457-1468, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:23:y:2013:i:18:p:1457-1468
    DOI: 10.1080/09603107.2013.831168
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Easterday, Kathryn E. & Sen, Pradyot K., 2016. "Is the January effect rational? Insights from the accounting valuation model," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 168-185.
    2. Meher Shiva Tadepalli & Ravi Kumar Jain, 2018. "Persistence of calendar anomalies: insights and perspectives from literature," American Journal of Business, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 33(1/2), pages 18-60, May.
    3. Khushboo Aggarwal & Mithilesh Kumar Jha, 2023. "Stock returns seasonality in emerging asian markets," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(1), pages 109-130, March.
    4. Rajesh Elangovan & Francis Gnanasekar Irudayasamy & Satyanarayana Parayitam, 2022. "Month-of-the-Year Effect: Empirical Evidence from Indian Stock Market," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 29(3), pages 449-476, September.
    5. Urquhart, Andrew & McGroarty, Frank, 2014. "Calendar effects, market conditions and the Adaptive Market Hypothesis: Evidence from long-run U.S. data," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 154-166.
    6. KUMAR Satish, 2017. "A Review On The Evolution Of Calendar Anomalies," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 12(1), pages 95-109, April.

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