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Liquidity stress-tester: do Basel III and unconventional monetary policy work?

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  • Jan Willem van den End

Abstract

This article presents a macro stress-testing model for liquidity risks of banks, incorporating the proposed Basel III liquidity regulation, unconventional monetary policy and credit supply effects. First and second round (feedback) effects of shocks are simulated by a Monte Carlo approach. Banks react according to the Basel III standards, endogenizing liquidity risk. The model shows how banks’ reactions interact with extended refinancing operations and asset purchases by the central bank. The results indicate that Basel III limits liquidity tail risk, in particular if it leads to a higher quality of liquid asset holdings. The flip side of increased bond holdings is that monetary policy conducted through asset purchases gets more influence on banks relative to refinancing operations.

Suggested Citation

  • Jan Willem van den End, 2012. "Liquidity stress-tester: do Basel III and unconventional monetary policy work?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(15), pages 1233-1257, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:22:y:2012:i:15:p:1233-1257
    DOI: 10.1080/09603107.2011.646065
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    1. Claudio Borio & Mathias Drehmann, 2011. "Toward an Operational Framework for Financial Stability: “Fuzzy” Measurement and Its Consequences," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Rodrigo Alfaro (ed.),Financial Stability, Monetary Policy, and Central Banking, edition 1, volume 15, chapter 4, pages 063-123, Central Bank of Chile.
    2. Fernando, Chitru S. & Herring, Richard J. & Subrahmanyam, Avanidhar, 2008. "Common liquidity shocks and market collapse: Lessons from the market for perps," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(8), pages 1625-1635, August.
    3. van den End, Jan Willem & Tabbae, Mostafa, 2012. "When liquidity risk becomes a systemic issue: Empirical evidence of bank behaviour," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 107-120.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mario Mustilli & Francesco Campanella & Eugenio D’Angelo, 2017. "Basel III and Credit Crunch: An Empirical Test with Focus on Europe," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 7(3), pages 1-3.
    2. Hana Hejlová & Zlatuše Komárková & Marek Rusnák, . "A Liquidity Risk Stress-Testing Framework with Basel Liquidity Standards," Prague Economic Papers, University of Economics, Prague, vol. 0.
    3. Grundke, Peter & Kühn, André, 2020. "The impact of the Basel III liquidity ratios on banks: Evidence from a simulation study," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 167-190.
    4. Jakob de Haan & Willem van den End & Jon Frost & Christiaan Pattipeilohy & Mostafa Tabbae, 2013. "Unconventional Monetary Policy of the ECB during the Financial Crisis: An Assessment and New Evidence," SUERF 50th Anniversary Volume Chapters, in: Morten Balling & Ernest Gnan (ed.), 50 Years of Money and Finance: Lessons and Challenges, chapter 4, pages 117-156, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum.
    5. Imad Kutum & Khaled Hussainey, 2014. "Are Canadian Banks Ready for Basel III?," Accounting and Finance Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 3(3), pages 159-159, August.
    6. Corbet, Shaen & Larkin, Charles, 2017. "Has the uniformity of banking regulation within the European Union restricted rather than encouraged sectoral development?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 48-65.
    7. Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner, 2018. "What Do We Know About the Effects of Macroprudential Policy?," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 85(340), pages 735-770, October.
    8. Koliai, Lyes, 2016. "Extreme risk modeling: An EVT–pair-copulas approach for financial stress tests," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 1-22.
    9. Neagu, Florian & Mihai, Irina, 2013. "Sudden stop of capital flows and the consequences for the banking sector and the real economy," Working Paper Series 1591, European Central Bank.
    10. Oriol Carreras & E Philip Davis & Rebecca Piggott, 2016. "Macroprudential tools, transmission and modelling," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 470, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
    11. Jan Willem van den End & Mark Kruidhof, 2013. "Modelling the liquidity ratio as macroprudential instrument," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 14(2), pages 91-106, April.
    12. repec:cnb:ocpubc:fsr1516/2 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Hana Hejlová & Zlatuše Komárková & Marek Rusnák, 2020. "A Liquidity Risk Stress-Testing Framework with Basel Liquidity Standards," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2020(3), pages 251-273.

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