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Intra-industry contagion effects of earnings surprises in the banking sector

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  • Marcel Prokopczuk

Abstract

In this article we investigate whether contagion is present in the banking sector by analysing how banks are affected by negative earnings surprises from their competitors. The banking sector is of crucial importance for the economy and, thus, highly regulated on an individual bank level. However, a high degree of contagion risk should call for a regulation of the financial network rather than solely regulating on an individual level. To be able to make a judgement about the magnitude of possible contagion effects we compare the results of the banking sector with the results of the nonbanking industries. We find that earnings surprises cause significant contagion in the banking sector. In contrast, we do not find this effect in the nonbanking sectors, including the insurance sector. The magnitude of contagion in the banking sector is positively related with the size of the bank reporting an earnings surprise, as well as the size of the affected banks.

Suggested Citation

  • Marcel Prokopczuk, 2010. "Intra-industry contagion effects of earnings surprises in the banking sector," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(20), pages 1601-1613.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:20:y:2010:i:20:p:1601-1613
    DOI: 10.1080/09603107.2010.508718
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    Cited by:

    1. Eckert, Christian & Gatzert, Nadine & Heidinger, Dinah, 2020. "Empirically assessing and modeling spillover effects from operational risk events in the insurance industry," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 72-83.
    2. Zhu, Hui, 2014. "Implications of limited investor attention to customer–supplier information transfers," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(3), pages 405-416.
    3. Ding, Li & Lam, Hugo K.S. & Cheng, T.C.E. & Zhou, Honggeng, 2021. "The contagion and competitive effects across national borders: Evidence from the 2016 Kumamoto earthquakes," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    4. Yu, Susana & Webb, Gwendolyn, 2017. "Market adaptation to Regulation Fair Disclosure: The use of industry information to enhance the informational environment," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 1-12.
    5. Fedorova, Elena, 2011. "Transfer of financial risk in emerging eastern European stock markets : A sectoral perspective," BOFIT Discussion Papers 24/2011, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
    6. Malthus Timothy Ekpe & Rosemary Obiageri Obasi & Sadiq Rabiu Abdullahi & Umar Aliyu Mustapha & Norfadzilah Rashid, 2020. "Earnings Surprises and Stock Price Reactions of Quoted Companies in Nigeria," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 11(4), pages 306-315, July.
    7. repec:zbw:bofitp:2011_024 is not listed on IDEAS

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