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Interest rate linkages: identifying structural relations

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  • Marco Barassi
  • Guglielmo Maria Caporale
  • Stephen Hall

Abstract

This paper examines the structural linkages that may exist between the G7 national interest rates. Its aim is to exploit some new techniques in cointegration analysis to see to what extent conclusions can be drawn purely from the data without imposing any arbitrary identification conditions. Linkages between I(1) series are examined as structural relations, using a technique that is a variation of a method proposed by Davidson that involves the introduction of the new concept of an irreducible cointegrating vector. In order to distinguish between structural and solved irreducible cointegrating relations, the ranking of irreducible cointegrating vectors according to the criterion of minimum variance is introduced. This methodology is applied to the system linking the G7 short-term interest rates, obtaining some interesting results.

Suggested Citation

  • Marco Barassi & Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Stephen Hall, 2005. "Interest rate linkages: identifying structural relations," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(14), pages 977-986.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:15:y:2005:i:14:p:977-986
    DOI: 10.1080/09603100500120308
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    4. Barassi, Marco R & Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Hall, Stephen G, 2001. "Irreducibility and Structural Cointegrating Relations: An Application to the G-7 Long-Term Interest Rates," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 6(2), pages 127-138, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Strauch, Rolf & Paesani, Paolo & Kremer, Manfred, 2006. "Public debt and long-term interest rates: the case of Germany, Italy and the USA," Working Paper Series 656, European Central Bank.
    2. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Carcel, Hector & Gil-Alana, Luis, 2017. "Central bank policy rates: Are they cointegrated?," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 116-123.
    3. Peter G. Dunne & Michael J. Moore & Richard Portes, 2007. "Benchmark Status in Fixed‐Income Asset Markets," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(9‐10), pages 1615-1634, November.
    4. Marco Barassi & Guglielmo Caporale & Stephen Hall, 2005. "A Sequential Test for Structural Breaks in the Causal Linkages Between the G7 Short-Term Interest Rates," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 107-133, April.
    5. Moore, Michael & Dunne, Peter G & Portes, Richard, 2002. "Defining Benchmark Status: An Application using Euro-Area Bonds," CEPR Discussion Papers 3490, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. Nuruddeen Usman & Martins Apinran, 2024. "Policy rates in ECOWAS: are they fractionally cointegrated?," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 4(11), pages 1-15, November.
    7. Barassi, Marco R. & Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Hall, Stephen G., 2005. "Interest rate linkages: a Kalman filter approach to detecting structural change," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 253-284, March.
    8. William Bryant & Roselyne Joyeux, 2010. "Interest linkages between the US, UK and German interest rates: should the UK join the European Monetary Union?," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(6), pages 633-647.
    9. Meshach Jesse Aziakpono, 2008. "Financial And Monetary Autonomy And Interdependence Between South Africa And The Other Sacu Countries," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 76(2), pages 189-211, June.

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