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The impact of the introduction of futures contracts on the spot market volatility: the case of Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange

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  • Wee Ching Pok
  • Sunil Poshakwale

Abstract

In investigating the impact of futures trading on spot market volatility, it is not obvious to what extent the results obtained using data from well developed and highly liquid markets are applicable to emerging markets. This paper provides evidence on the impact of the introduction of futures trading on spot market volatility using data from both the underlying and non-underlying stocks in the emerging Malaysian stock market. Results show that the onset of futures trading increases spot market volatility and the flow of information to the spot market. It is found that the underlying stocks respond more to recent news, while the non-underlying stocks respond more to old news. The lead-lag and causal relationship between futures trading activity and spot market volatility is also examined. VAR results show that the impact of the previous day's futures trading activity on volatility is positive but short (only a day). This is further confirmed by Granger's causality test.

Suggested Citation

  • Wee Ching Pok & Sunil Poshakwale, 2004. "The impact of the introduction of futures contracts on the spot market volatility: the case of Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(2), pages 143-154.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:14:y:2004:i:2:p:143-154
    DOI: 10.1080/0960310042000176416
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    Cited by:

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    2. Jian, Zhihong & Li, Xupei & Zhu, Zhican, 2022. "Extreme risk transmission channels between the stock index futures and spot markets: Evidence from China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    3. Cao, Guangxi & Han, Yan & Cui, Weijun & Guo, Yu, 2014. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlations between the CSI 300 index futures and the spot markets based on high-frequency data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 414(C), pages 308-320.
    4. J.L. Ford & Wee Ching Pok & S. Poshakwale, 2012. "The Return Predictability and Market Efficiency of the KLSE CI Stock Index Futures Market," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 11(1), pages 37-60, April.
    5. Lam, Kin & Lean, Hooi Hooi & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2016. "Stochastic Dominance and Investors’ Behavior towards Risk: The Hong Kong Stocks and Futures Markets," MPRA Paper 74386, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Shaen Corbet & Cian Twomey, 2014. "Quantifying the Effects of the Inclusion and Segregation of Contracts for Difference in Australian Equity Markets," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 4(2), pages 411-426.
    7. Pok, Wee Ching & Poshakwale, Sunil S. & Ford, J.L., 2009. "Stock index futures hedging in the emerging Malaysian market," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 273-288.
    8. Shaen Corbet & Cian Twomey, 2014. "Have Exchange Traded Funds Influenced Commodity Market Volatility?," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 4(2), pages 323-335.
    9. Ebru Çağlayan, 2011. "The Impact of Stock Index Futures on the Turkish Spot Market," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 10(1), pages 73-91, April.
    10. Nikolaos Sariannidis & Evangelos Drimbetas, 2008. "Impact of international volatility and the introduction of Individual Stock Futures on the volatility of a small market," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 119-119.
    11. Loc Dong Truong & Anh Thi Kim Nguyen & Dut Van Vo, 2021. "Index Future Trading and Spot Market Volatility in Frontier Markets: Evidence from Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 28(3), pages 353-366, September.
    12. Evangelos Drimbetas & Nikolaos Sariannidis & Nicos Porfiris, 2007. "The effect of derivatives trading on volatility of the underlying asset: evidence from the Greek stock market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 139-148.
    13. Loc Dong Truong & H. Swint Friday & Anh Thi Kim Nguyen, 2022. "The Effects of Index Futures Trading Volume on Spot Market Volatility in a Frontier Market: Evidence from Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-13, December.
    14. Shailesh Rastogi & Chaitaly Athaley, 2019. "Volatility Integration in Spot, Futures and Options Markets: A Regulatory Perspective," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-15, June.
    15. Kasman, Adnan & Kasman, Saadet, 2008. "The impact of futures trading on volatility of the underlying asset in the Turkish stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(12), pages 2837-2845.
    16. Shaen Corbet & Cian Twomey, 2014. "How Have Contracts for Difference Affected Irish Equity Market Volatility?," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 45(4), pages 559-577.
    17. Bhaumik, S. & Karanasos, M. & Kartsaklas, A., 2016. "The informative role of trading volume in an expanding spot and futures market," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 24-40.

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