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Calendar effects in Eastern European financial markets: evidence from the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Slovenia

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  • Dimitar Tonchev
  • Tae-Hwan Kim

Abstract

This paper uses a new data set from three Eastern European countries (Czech Republic, Slovakia and Slovenia) to investigate whether the so-called calendar effects are present in the newly developing financial markets in those countries. Five calendar effects are examined in both mean by OLS regression and variance by GARCH; the day of the week effect, the January effect, the half-month effect, the turn of the month effect and the holiday effect. In the empirical analysis, very weak evidence has been found for the calendar effects in the three countries, and these effects, where they exist, have different characteristics in the different stock markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Dimitar Tonchev & Tae-Hwan Kim, 2004. "Calendar effects in Eastern European financial markets: evidence from the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Slovenia," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(14), pages 1035-1043.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:14:y:2004:i:14:p:1035-1043
    DOI: 10.1080/0960310042000264003
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    Cited by:

    1. Eleftherios Giovanis, 2014. "The Turn-of-the-Month-Effect: Evidence from Periodic Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (PGARCH) Model," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 7(3), pages 43-61, December.
    2. Betty Agnani & Henry Aray, 2011. "The January effect across volatility regimes," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(6), pages 947-953.
    3. Farag, Hisham, 2013. "Price limit bands, asymmetric volatility and stock market anomalies: Evidence from emerging markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 85-97.
    4. B. Jirasakuldech & Riza Emekter & Unro Lee, 2008. "Business conditions and nonrandom walk behaviour of US stocks and bonds returns," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(8), pages 659-672.
    5. Högholm, Kenneth & Knif, Johan, 2009. "The impact of portfolio aggregation on day-of-the-week effect: Evidence from Finland," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 67-79.
    6. C.-S. Hsieh & C.-T. Chen, 2012. "Using stochastic dominance criterion to examine the day-of-the-week effect," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(14), pages 1207-1213, July.
    7. Carlos David Cardona-Arenas & Rafael Gómez-Gómez & Eliana Morales-Zuluaga, 2023. "COVID-19 and its short-term informational impact on the stock markets of the Pacific Alliance countries," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(5), pages 1-23, May.
    8. Oleg Deev & Dagmar Linnertová, 2012. "Intraday and intraweek trade anomalies on the Czech stock market," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 60(4), pages 79-88.
    9. Goran Karanovic & Bisera Karanovic, 2018. "The Day-of-the-Week Effect: Evidence from Selected Balkan Markets," Scientific Annals of Economics and Business (continues Analele Stiintifice), Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 65(1), pages 1-11, March.
    10. Ke, Mei-Chu & Chiang, Yi-Chein & Liao, Tung Liang, 2007. "Day-of-the-week effect in the Taiwan foreign exchange market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(9), pages 2847-2865, September.
    11. Podgórski Błażej, 2018. "Impact of the January Effect on Return Rates in the Markets of the 2004 EU Enlargement," Journal of Management and Business Administration. Central Europe, Sciendo, vol. 26(1), pages 27-48, March.
    12. Jan Hanousek & Evžen Kočenda, 2010. "Vliv vnitrodenních makroekonomických zpráv na akciové trhy nových států EU [Effect of Intraday Information Flow on the Emerging European Stock Markets]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2010(4), pages 435-457.
    13. Kovačić, Zlatko, 2007. "Forecasting volatility: Evidence from the Macedonian stock exchange," MPRA Paper 5319, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Andrew Worthington, 2010. "The decline of calendar seasonality in the Australian stock exchange, 1958–2005," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 6(3), pages 421-433, July.
    15. Giovanis, Eleftherios, 2009. "The Month-of-the-year Effect: Evidence from GARCH models in Fifty Five Stock Markets," MPRA Paper 22328, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Elvira Sojli, 2007. "Contagion in emerging markets: the Russian crisis," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(3), pages 197-213.
    17. Jan Hanousek & Evžen Kočenda, 2011. "Foreign News and Spillovers in Emerging European Stock Markets," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(1), pages 170-188, February.
    18. Balaban, Ercan & Ozgen, Tolga & Karidis, Socrates, 2018. "Intraday and interday distribution of stock returns and their asymmetric conditional volatility: Firm-level evidence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 905-915.
    19. Andrew C. Worthington, 2007. "National Exuberance: A Note On The Melbourne Cup Effect In Australian Stock Returns," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 26(2), pages 170-179, June.
    20. Giovanis, Eleftherios, 2009. "Calendar Effects and Seasonality on Returns and Volatility," MPRA Paper 64404, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. KUMAR Satish, 2017. "A Review On The Evolution Of Calendar Anomalies," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 12(1), pages 95-109, April.
    22. George Marrett & Andrew Worthington, 2009. "An empirical note on the holiday effect in the Australian stock market, 1996-2006," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(17), pages 1769-1772.
    23. Stavarek, Daniel & Heryan, Tomas, 2012. "Day of the week effect in central European stock markets," MPRA Paper 38431, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    24. Kenneth Hogholm & Johan Knif & Seppo Pynnonen, 2011. "Common and local asymmetry and day-of-the-week effects among EU equity markets," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 219-227.

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