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Forward-looking agents and macroeconomic determinants of the equity price in a small open economy

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  • Amir Kia

Abstract

This article estimates a macro-determinant model of stock price using monthly data on Canadian and US markets. It is found that the commodity price is also an important component of stock prices. Economic agents in Canadian stock markets are forward looking and their reactions to equilibrium errors are asymmetric. It is also found that deviations from fundamental price are short-lived. Furthermore, among long-run macro-determinants of stock price, at least two long-run stationary relationships exist: uncovered interest parity and a long-run Canadian monetary policy reaction function.

Suggested Citation

  • Amir Kia, 2003. "Forward-looking agents and macroeconomic determinants of the equity price in a small open economy," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 37-54.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:13:y:2003:i:1:p:37-54
    DOI: 10.1080/09603100110091793
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    Cited by:

    1. Kia, Amir, 2003. "Rational speculators and equity volatility as a measure of ex ante risk," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 135-157, July.
    2. Kia, Amir & Darrat, Ali F., 2007. "Modeling money demand under the profit-sharing banking scheme: Some evidence on policy invariance and long-run stability," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 104-123.
    3. R. Ratneswary V. Rasiah, 2010. "Macroeconomic Activity And The Malaysian Stock Market: Empirical Evidence Of Dynamic Relations," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 4(2), pages 59-69.
    4. Kia, Amir, 2010. "Overnight monetary policy in the United States: Active or interest-rate smoothing?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 378-391, March.
    5. Declerck, Francis, 2014. "Do Agricultural Commodity Firm Stock Price and Agricultural Commodity Price Move Together?," 2014 International European Forum, February 17-21, 2014, Innsbruck-Igls, Austria 199388, International European Forum on System Dynamics and Innovation in Food Networks.
    6. Amir Kia, 2006. "Economic policies and demand for money: evidence from Canada," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(12), pages 1389-1407.
    7. Amir Kia, 2005. "Overnight Monetary Policy in the United States: Active or Interest-Rate Smoothing?," Carleton Economic Papers 05-07, Carleton University, Department of Economics, revised Mar 2010.
    8. Amir Kia, 2005. "Developing a Market-Based Monetary Policy Transparency Index and Testing Its Impact on Risk and Volatility in the United States," Carleton Economic Papers 05-02, Carleton University, Department of Economics.
    9. Amir Kia & Hilde Patron, 2004. "Market-Based Monetary Policy Transparency Index, Risk and Volatility - The Case of the United States," Carleton Economic Papers 04-07, Carleton University, Department of Economics.
    10. Amir Kia & Ali F. Darrat, 2003. "Modeling Money Demand under the Profit-Sharing Banking Scheme: Evidence on Policy Invariance and Long-Run Stability," Carleton Economic Papers 03-13, Carleton University, Department of Economics, revised Apr 2007.
    11. Declerck, Francis, 2014. "Do Agricultural Commodity Firm Stock Price and Agricultural Commodity Price Move Together?," International Journal on Food System Dynamics, International Center for Management, Communication, and Research, vol. 5(3), pages 1-10, November.

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