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Australian industry beta risk, the choice of market index and business cycles

Author

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  • Vanitha Ragunathan
  • Robert Faff
  • Robert Brooks

Abstract

The paper presents an investigation of the equity beta risk of 23 Australian industry portfolios over the period 1974 to 1992. A comparison of domestic and international market model betas, favours the domestic risk measures, although the international counterparts are generally statistically significant relative to a world market index. Furthermore, the international betas seem to display greater instability than the domestic beta estimates. Tests are made to determine whether business cycles, both domestic and international, impact upon stock returns, via changes in the estimated domestic beta. Generally, it is found that business cycles are important and that the US business cycle has a much larger impact on the equity betas of industry portfolios, than does the Australian business cycle. Finally, it is found that interactions between the business cycles of Australia and the United States, have an impact on the beta risk for many industries.

Suggested Citation

  • Vanitha Ragunathan & Robert Faff & Robert Brooks, 2000. "Australian industry beta risk, the choice of market index and business cycles," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 49-58.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:10:y:2000:i:1:p:49-58
    DOI: 10.1080/096031000331923
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    Cited by:

    1. Eduardo Roca & Victor Wong, 2008. "An analysis of the sensitivity of Australian superannuation funds to market movements: a Markov regime switching approach," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(7), pages 583-597.
    2. Robert J. Bianchi & Michael E. Drew & Timothy Whittaker, 2016. "The Predictive Performance of Asset Pricing Models: Evidence from the Australian Securities Exchange," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(04), pages 1-18, December.
    3. Eduardo Roca & Victor Wong & Gurudeo Tularam, 2010. "The Market Sensitivity of Australian Superannuation Socially Responsible Investment Funds. Evidence from a Markov Regime Switching Approach," Discussion Papers in Finance finance:201012, Griffith University, Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics.
    4. Robert B. Durand & Manapon Limkriangkrai & Gary Smith, 2006. "In America's thrall: the effects of the US market and US security characteristics on Australian stock returns," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 46(4), pages 577-604, December.
    5. Frank Figge, 2004. "Stakeholder und Unternehmensrisiko," Risk and Insurance 0408001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Yao, Juan & Alles, Lakshman, 2006. "Industry return predictability, timing and profitability," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 122-141, April.

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