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Empirical regularities for the currencies of European monetary system during the 1976-1993 period

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  • Cristina Del Rio
  • Rafael Santamaria

Abstract

Empirical evidence about the behaviour of the exchange rates in terms of the US Dollar (USD) has shown different regularities (autocorrelation, daily seasonality, heteroscedasticicity, long memory). In this sense, we are interested in analysing the regularities that can be found in the behaviour of the European currencies in terms of Deutsche Mark (DEM) specifically those related to the mean because they could lead to the design of potentially exploitable strategies. The hypothesis is that the existence of a monetary system, which operates with bands around the bilateral central rate, can have an important influence on the behaviour of the exchange rates. Thus daily prices of four foreign currencies (French Franc (FRF), British Pound (GBP), Italian Lira (ITL) and Spanish Peseta (ESP)) are analysed over the period from 1 January 1976 to 31 December 1993. The results have confirmed a previous hypothesis.

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  • Cristina Del Rio & Rafael Santamaria, 2000. "Empirical regularities for the currencies of European monetary system during the 1976-1993 period," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(12), pages 755-764.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:12:p:755-764
    DOI: 10.1080/135048500444750
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    1. repec:bla:jfinan:v:43:y:1988:i:4:p:933-48 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Meese, R. & Rogoff, K., 1988. "Was It Real? The Exchange Rate-Interest Differential Ralation Over The Modern Floating-Rate Period," Working papers 368, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ata Assaf, 2006. "Nonlinear Trend Stationarity in Real Exchange Rates: Evidence from Nonlinear ADF tests," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 7(2), pages 283-294, November.

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