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Is it real? The relationship between real deficits and real growth: new evidence using long-run data

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  • Jakob De Haan
  • Jan Egbert Sturm

Abstract

Long-run data for the USA is used to examine whether the inflation adjustment of the government budget deficit as proposed by Eisner and Pieper makes a difference in assessing the impact of fiscal policy on economic growth. Using Vector Autoregressions (VAR) it is found that both the inflation adjusted and the unadjusted deficit exert a negative influence on real growth.

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  • Jakob De Haan & Jan Egbert Sturm, 1995. "Is it real? The relationship between real deficits and real growth: new evidence using long-run data," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(4), pages 98-102.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:98-102
    DOI: 10.1080/758529811
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Easterly, William & Rebelo, Sergio, 1993. "Fiscal policy and economic growth: An empirical investigation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 417-458, December.
    2. Sims, Christopher A., 1992. "Interpreting the macroeconomic time series facts : The effects of monetary policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 975-1000, June.
    3. Fischer, Stanley, 1993. "The role of macroeconomic factors in growth," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 485-512, December.
    4. Perron, Pierre, 1989. "The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(6), pages 1361-1401, November.
    5. Catsambas, Thanos, 1988. "Budget Deficits, Inflation Accounting, and Macroeconomic Policy: A Skeptical Note," Journal of Public Policy, Cambridge University Press, vol. 8(1), pages 49-60, January.
    6. Zelhorst, Dick & de Haan, Jakob, 1994. "The Nonstationarity of Aggregate Output: Some Additional International Evidence," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 26(1), pages 23-33, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jan Jacobs & Albert van der Horst,, 1996. "VAR-ing the economy of the Netherlands," Working Papers 24, Centre for Economic Research, University of Groningen and University of Twente.

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