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Assessing the impact of the demographic dividend on real estate prices: empirical evidence from China

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  • Ying Zhang
  • Xiaoxing Liu
  • Yan Ding
  • Anni Su

Abstract

To elucidate the impact of the demographic dividend on real estate prices, this article uses the latest Chinese provincial data over the 2002-2013 period. The panel vector autoregression (PVAR) model combined with the impulse response function (IRF) is used to investigate the direct and indirect mechanisms of the demographic dividend that cause real estate price escalation in both the short and long term. The empirical results indicate that the demographic dividend, particularly city residents' disposable income, can not only directly increase real estate prices but also indirectly increase prices through intervening channels, such as real estate loans.

Suggested Citation

  • Ying Zhang & Xiaoxing Liu & Yan Ding & Anni Su, 2015. "Assessing the impact of the demographic dividend on real estate prices: empirical evidence from China," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(18), pages 1450-1456, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:22:y:2015:i:18:p:1450-1456
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2015.1039695
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    Cited by:

    1. Xu Zhang & Xiaoxing Liu & Jianqin Hang & Dengbao Yao & Guangping Shi, 2016. "Do Urban Rail Transit Facilities Affect Housing Prices? Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-14, April.
    2. Rui Yang & Xin An & Yingwen Chen & Xiuli Yang, 2023. "The Knowledge Analysis of Panel Vector Autoregression: A Systematic Review," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(4), pages 21582440231, December.
    3. Pengkun Wu & Chong Wu & Yuanyuan Wu, 2018. "Reforming Path of China’s Fertility Policy in Stabilizing Demographic Dividends Perspective," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 137(3), pages 1225-1243, June.

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