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Marriage, divorce and economic activity in the US: 1960--2008

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  • Hamid Baghestani
  • Michael Malcolm

Abstract

We utilize a time-series model to examine the interrelationship between marriage and divorce and their connections with macroeconomic conditions for the period 1960 to 2008. Our findings suggest that marriage and divorce are pro-cyclical, although macroeconomic conditions affect divorce only when the economy is underperforming. Marriage is pro-cyclical in all circumstances. Further, bidirectional causation exists, with marriage (divorce) affected by lagged rates of divorce (marriage).

Suggested Citation

  • Hamid Baghestani & Michael Malcolm, 2014. "Marriage, divorce and economic activity in the US: 1960--2008," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(8), pages 528-532, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:8:p:528-532
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.872753
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ekert-Jaffe, Olivia & Solaz, Anne, 2001. "Unemployment, marriage, and cohabitation in France," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 75-98, January.
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    3. Jensen, Peter & Smith, Nina, 1990. "Unemployment and Marital Dissolution," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 3(3), pages 215-229, October.
    4. Oreffice, Sonia & Quintana-Domeque, Climent, 2010. "Anthropometry and socioeconomics among couples: Evidence in the United States," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 373-384, December.
    5. Randall Kesselring & Dale Bremmer, 2006. "Female income and the divorce decision: evidence from micro data," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(14), pages 1605-1616.
    6. Stephen H. Shore, 2010. "For Better, For Worse: Intrahousehold Risk-Sharing over the Business Cycle," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 92(3), pages 536-548, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Raffaella Santolini, 2021. "To Divorce Or Not To Divorce: Is This A Property Tax Problem?," Working Papers 451, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.
    2. Rafael González-Val & Miriam Marcén, 2017. "Divorce and the business cycle: a cross-country analysis," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 879-904, September.
    3. Mizuki Komura & Hikaru Ogawa, 2022. "COVID-19, marriage, and divorce in Japan," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 20(3), pages 831-853, September.
    4. Rafael González-Val & Miriam Marcén, 2018. "Unemployment, marriage and divorce," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(13), pages 1495-1508, March.
    5. Zheng, Shilin & Duan, Yuwei & Ward, Michael R., 2019. "The effect of broadband internet on divorce in China," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 99-114.
    6. Héctor Bellido & Miriam Marcén, 2021. "Will you marry me? It depends (on the business cycle)," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 551-579, June.

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