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Convergence in sovereign debt ratios across heavily indebted EU countries: evidence from club convergence

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  • Nicholas Apergis
  • Arusha Cooray

Abstract

We study the convergence of sovereign debt accumulation in five European Monetary Union (EMU) countries using quarterly data from June 2009 to June 2013, with a focus on debt ratio convergence following the 2009 sovereign debt crisis and the adoption of fiscal consolidation programmes. We test the Phillips and Sul (2007) club convergence hypothesis. We find the evidence of a lack of debt convergence for Greece and Portugal. Our results support the view that there is not a uniform austerity prescription for all, especially, without emphasizing friendly growth policies, which makes these countries more prone to investors' sentiments.

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  • Nicholas Apergis & Arusha Cooray, 2014. "Convergence in sovereign debt ratios across heavily indebted EU countries: evidence from club convergence," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(11), pages 786-788, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:21:y:2014:i:11:p:786-788
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.889798
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    1. Laura Jaramillo & Mr. Carlo Cottarelli, 2012. "Walking Hand in Hand: Fiscal Policy and Growth in Advanced Economies," IMF Working Papers 2012/137, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Galor, Oded, 1996. "Convergence? Inferences from Theoretical Models," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 106(437), pages 1056-1069, July.
    3. Peter C. B. Phillips & Donggyu Sul, 2009. "Economic transition and growth," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(7), pages 1153-1185.
    4. Peter C. B. Phillips & Donggyu Sul, 2007. "Transition Modeling and Econometric Convergence Tests," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 75(6), pages 1771-1855, November.
    5. Mr. Julio Escolano, 2010. "A Practical Guide to Public Debt Dynamics, Fiscal Sustainability, and Cyclical Adjustment of Budgetary Aggregates," IMF Technical Notes and Manuals 2010/002, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Julio Escolano, 2010. "A Practical Guide to Public Debt Dynamics, Fiscal Sustainability, and Cyclical Adjustment of Budgetary Aggregates," IMF Technical Notes and Manuals 10/02, International Monetary Fund.
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    Cited by:

    1. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Greek economic policy uncertainty: Does it matter for Europe? Evidence from a dynamic connectedness decomposition approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).
    2. Mita Bhattacharya & John Inekwe, 2021. "Convergence in Sovereign Debt Defaults: Quantifying the Roles of Institutions," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 83(3), pages 792-811, June.
    3. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Christou, Christina & Cunado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Convergence patterns in sovereign bond yield spreads: Evidence from the Euro Area," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 129-139.
    4. Athanasios Anastasiou & Nicholas Apergis & Athina Zervoyianni, 2024. "Convergence of public expenditures and revenues in EU28 during 2002–2019: Evidence from club‐clustering analysis before and after the European debt crisis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 1856-1876, April.
    5. Paravee Maneejuk & Sopanid Teerachai & Atinuch Ratchakit & Woraphon Yamaka, 2021. "Analysis of Difference in Household Debt across Regions of Thailand," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-24, November.
    6. Nikolaos Antonakakis & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Greek Economic Policy Uncertainty: Does it Matter for the European Union?," Working Papers 201840, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Mustafa Emre Ertu rul & Kemaletttin Tanr seven, 2018. "Analysis of Income Convergence in G-20 Countries with Structural Break Unit Root Test," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 8(2), pages 344-349.
    8. Francisco A. Blanco & Francisco J. Delgado & Maria J. Presno, 2018. "Fiscal decentralization in the EU: Common patterns through a club convergence analysis," Working Papers. Collection A: Public economics, governance and decentralization 1812, Universidade de Vigo, GEN - Governance and Economics research Network.
    9. González, Germán Héctor & García-González, Juan David & Gómez-Medina, José Santiago & Corbella, Virginia Inés, 2023. "Regionalization of Latin America based on asymmetries in the absorptive capacity of countries," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    10. Francisco J. Delgado & Maria J. Presno, 2023. "Evolution of Fiscal Decentralisation in OECD Countries: A Club Convergence Analysis," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 25(63), pages 558-558, April.
    11. Eva Lajtkepová, 2016. "Differences And Similarities In The Indebtedness Of Eu Member States After Last Financial Crisis," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 7(4), pages 551-563, December.

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