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Nonlinear adjustment to purchasing power parity in transition countries: the ADL test for threshold cointegration

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  • Yang-Cheng Ralph Lu
  • Tsangyao Chang
  • Chia-Hao Lee

Abstract

This study applies a newly developed Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ADL) test for threshold cointegration, proposed by Li and Lee (2010) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for a sample of transition countries (i.e. Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania and Russia) over January 1995 to December 2008. The empirical results indicate that PPP only holds true for five of these transition countries under study. Our results have important policy implications for the transition countries under study.

Suggested Citation

  • Yang-Cheng Ralph Lu & Tsangyao Chang & Chia-Hao Lee, 2012. "Nonlinear adjustment to purchasing power parity in transition countries: the ADL test for threshold cointegration," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(7), pages 629-633, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:629-633
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.591725
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    2. Selahattin GURIS & Burak GURIS & Turgut UN, 2016. "Interest Rates, Fisher Effect And Economic Development In Turkey, 1989-2011," Revista Galega de Economía, University of Santiago de Compostela. Faculty of Economics and Business., vol. 25(2), pages 95-100.
    3. Hiroshi Ono, 2014. "The government expenditure-economic growth relation in Japan: an analysis by using the ADL test for threshold cointegration," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(28), pages 3523-3531, October.
    4. Hüseyin Şen & Ayşe Kaya & Savaş Kaptan & Metehan Cömert, 2019. "Interest rates, inflation, and exchange rates in fragile EMEs: A fresh look at the long-run interrelationships," Working Papers halshs-02095652, HAL.
    5. Aziza Syzdykova, 2018. "The Relationship between the Oil Price Shocks and the Stock Markets: The Example of Commonwealth of Independent States Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(6), pages 161-166.
    6. Mehmet Fatih Tra? & Esra Ball? & Çiler Sigeze, 2016. "Testing for Purchasing Power Parity for Selected CIS Countries Using the Sieve Bootstrap," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences 3506095, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    7. Bekő Jani & Boršič Darja, 2018. "Testing the Purchasing Power Parity Hypothesis: Case of ASEAN Economies," Naše gospodarstvo/Our economy, Sciendo, vol. 64(4), pages 74-85, December.

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