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Who has more influence on Asian stock markets around the subprime mortgage crisis -- the US or China?

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  • Chien-Chung Nieh
  • Chao-Hsiang Yang
  • Yu-Sheng Kao

Abstract

This article employed the Momentum Threshold Autoregressive (M-TAR) model to investigate the changes in the asymmetric co-integration relationship between the US and China's stock markets and Asian stock markets of Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Japan, Korea and India around the subprime mortgage crisis. The main empirical findings demonstrated that with the application of traditional symmetric co-integration tests, the subprime mortgage crisis did not reinforce the co-movement trends between the US and China's markets and Asian markets. However, with the application of the M-TAR model for the threshold co-integration test, there was significant increase in these asymmetric co-integration relationships between them during the period of the subprime mortgage crisis, and our empirical results show evidence that the linkage between the US and China's stock markets is low, and investors can somewhat diversify risks by investing in the United States and China simultaneously.

Suggested Citation

  • Chien-Chung Nieh & Chao-Hsiang Yang & Yu-Sheng Kao, 2012. "Who has more influence on Asian stock markets around the subprime mortgage crisis -- the US or China?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(4), pages 329-335, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:329-335
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.577001
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    Cited by:

    1. Samet Günay, 2016. "Alteration of Risk in Asian Bond Markets during and after Mortgage Crisis: Evidence from Value at Risk (VaR) Analysis," Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance (AAMJAF), Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia, vol. 12(Suppl. 1), pages 159–182-1.
    2. Shi, Yujie & Wang, Liming, 2023. "Comparing the impact of Chinese and U.S. economic policy uncertainty on the volatility of major global stock markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    3. Nguyen, Cuong & Ishaq Bhatti, M. & Henry, Darren, 2017. "Are Vietnam and Chinese stock markets out of the US contagion effect in extreme events?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 480(C), pages 10-21.
    4. Shi, Yujie, 2022. "What influences stock market co-movements between China and its Asia-Pacific trading partners after the Global Financial Crisis?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    5. Taner Sekmen, 2015. "Effect of the Subprime Crisis on Return and Volatility of the Turkish Stock Market," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 7(3), pages 23-29.

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