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Evaluating poverty duration and transition: a spell-approach to rural China

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  • J. You

Abstract

This article uses a discrete-time multivariate duration model to study poverty transition in rural China between 1989 and 2006. The analysis identifies nonlinear negative duration-dependence for both exit and re-entry rates of poverty. There is significant difference in hazard rates of exit and re-entry associated with geographic location and educational level of households, but less related to gender, occupation or ethnic background of household head. The factors facilitating households' ending a poverty spell are found to be education, land ownership, asset accumulation, health insurance and outmigration, whereas larger family size and dependence ratio may reduce the chance of exit.

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  • J. You, 2011. "Evaluating poverty duration and transition: a spell-approach to rural China," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(14), pages 1377-1382.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1377-1382
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537625
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    2. Wu, Alfred M. & Ramesh, M., 2014. "Poverty Reduction in Urban China: The Impact of Cash Transfers," MPRA Paper 54358, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    4. Anand Sahasranaman, 2020. "Long term dynamics of poverty transitions in India," Papers 2010.06954, arXiv.org.
    5. Maria S. Floro & Javier Bronfman, 2012. "How Well have Social Protection Schemes in Chile Reduced Household Vulnerability?," Working Papers 2012-03, American University, Department of Economics.
    6. Qun Wang & Lu Shu & Xiaojun Lu, 2023. "Dynamics of multidimensional poverty and its determinants among the middle-aged and older adults in China," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-9, December.

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