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Macroeconomic uncertainty and private investment in Argentina, Mexico and Turkey

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  • Firat Demir

Abstract

This article by using micro-level data analyses the impacts of macroeconomic uncertainty and country risk on real investment under financial liberalization. The results suggest that increasing macroeconomic volatility and country risk hurt fixed investment spending of real sector firms.

Suggested Citation

  • Firat Demir, 2009. "Macroeconomic uncertainty and private investment in Argentina, Mexico and Turkey," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(6), pages 567-571.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:567-571
    DOI: 10.1080/13504850701206528
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ferderer, J Peter, 1993. "The Impact of Uncertainty on Aggregate Investment Spending: An Empirical Analysis," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 25(1), pages 30-48, February.
    2. Sebastian Schich & Florian Pelgrin, 2002. "Financial development and investment: panel data evidence for OECD countries from 1970 to 1997," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(1), pages 1-7.
    3. Alberto Gabriele & Korkut Baratav & Ashok Parikh, 2000. "Instability and Volatility of Capital Flows to Developing Countries," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(8), pages 1031-1056, August.
    4. Jaime Ros & Nora Claudia Lustig, 2000. "Trade and Financial Liberalization with Volatile Capital Inflows: Macroeconomic Consequences and Social Impacts in Mexico during the 1990s," SCEPA working paper series. 2000-08, Schwartz Center for Economic Policy Analysis (SCEPA), The New School.
    5. Arellano, Manuel & Bover, Olympia, 1995. "Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 29-51, July.
    6. repec:bla:econom:v:66:y:1999:i:262:p:157-79 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Joseph Dejuan & Simon Gurr, 2004. "On the link between volatility and growth: evidence from Canadian Provinces," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(5), pages 279-282.
    8. Feder, Gershon & Ross, Knud Z, 1982. "Risk Assessments and Risk Premiums in the Eurodollar Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 37(3), pages 679-691, June.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Martin Melecky & Mark Roberts & Siddharth Sharma, 2019. "The wider economic benefits of transport corridors: a policy framework and illustrative application to the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor," Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 12(1), pages 17-44.
    2. Pelin Öge Güney, 2019. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Investment Relationship for Turkey," Working Papers 1332, Economic Research Forum, revised 21 Aug 2019.
    3. repec:asi:ajoerj:2013:p:633-653 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Peter Karpestam & Fredrik NG Andersson, 2011. "A flexible CO2 targeting regime," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(1), pages 297-308.
    5. Mohey-ud-din, Ghulam & Siddiqi, Muhammad Wasif, 2013. "GDP Fluctuations and Private Investment: A Macro Panel Analysis of Selected South Asian Countries," MPRA Paper 60231, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 Jun 2014.
    6. Akçay Selçuk & Karasoy Alper, 2020. "Determinants of private investments in Turkey: Examining the role of democracy," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 20(1), pages 23-49, March.
    7. Bush, Georgia & López Noria, Gabriela, 2021. "Uncertainty and exchange rate volatility: Evidence from Mexico," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 704-722.
    8. Cavallo, Eduardo & Galindo, Arturo & Izquierdo, Alejandro & León, John Jairo, 2013. "The role of relative price volatility in the efficiency of investment allocation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 1-18.
    9. Michael Effah Asamoah & Imhotep Paul Alagidede & Frank Adu, 2022. "Exchange rate uncertainty and foreign direct investment in Africa: Does financial development matter?," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(2), pages 878-898, May.
    10. DerviÅŸ Kirikkaleli & Mustafa Tevfik Kartal & Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo, 2022. "Time And Frequency Dependency Of Foreign Exchange Rates And Country Risk:Evidence From Turkey," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 25(1), pages 37-54, June.
    11. Ibrahim, Mansor H. & Ahmed, Huson Joher Ali, 2014. "Permanent and transitory oil volatility and aggregate investment in Malaysia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 552-563.
    12. Martin Ruzima & Micheal Kofi Boachie, 2018. "Exchange rate uncertainty and private investment in BRICS economies," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 2(1), pages 65-77, April.

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