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The dynamics of money supply, exchange rate and inflation in Nigeria

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  • T.O. Akinbobola

Abstract

This paper aims at providing quantitative analysis of the dynamics of money supply, exchange rate and inflation in Nigeria. The paper utilizes secondary data that were obtained from the International Financial Statistics (IFS), of all variables investigated in the model. The sample covers quarterly data from 1986:01 to 2008:04. The model was estimated using Vector Error Correction Mechanism (VECM). The empirical results confirms that in the long run, money supply and exchange rate have significant inverse effects on inflationary pressure, while real output growth and foreign price changes have direct effects on inflationary pressure. The possible justification for the inverse effect of money supply on price level is that inflation may not be due to aggregate demand pressure but rather due to hiccups in the supply chain of goods both from the domestic and foreign supply outlets. Empirical deductions also signify the presence of significant feedback from the long run to short run disequilibrium. However, there exists a causal linkage between inflation, money supply and exchange rate in Nigeria.

Suggested Citation

  • T.O. Akinbobola, 2012. "The dynamics of money supply, exchange rate and inflation in Nigeria," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 2(4), pages 1-8.
    • Handle: RePEc:spt:apfiba:v:2:y:2012:i:4:f:2_4_8
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    Cited by:

    1. Pablo de la Vega & Guido Zack & Jimena Calvo & Emiliano Libman, 2024. "Inflation Determinants in Argentina (2004-2022)," Papers 2405.20822, arXiv.org.
    2. Zelealem Yiheyis & Emmanuel Cleeve, 2016. "Dynamics of the Real Exchange Rate, Inflation, and Output Growth: The Case of Malawi," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 8(10), pages 23-39, October.
    3. Naqib Ullah Khan & Wajid Alim & Abida Begum & Heesup Han & Abdullah Mohamed, 2022. "Examining Factors That Influence the International Tourism in Pakistan and Its Nexus with Economic Growth: Evidence from ARDL Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-15, August.
    4. Mutiu Gbade Rasaki, 2017. "An Estimated New Keynesian Phillips Curve for Nigeria," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 13(2), pages 203-211, April.
    5. Owolabi A. Usman & Adegbite Tajudeen Adejare, 2014. "Impact of Monetary Policy on Industrial Growth in Nigeria," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 4(1), pages 18-31, January.
    6. Akinbode, Sakiru Oladele & Olabisi, Jayeola & Adekunle, Chioma Patricia & Jimoh, Olaide Mistura, 2021. "Macroeconomic Variables And Food Price Inflation In Nigeria (1980-2018)," Journal of Rural Economics and Development, University of Ibadan, Department of Agricultural Economics, vol. 23(1), September.
    7. Husaini, Dzul Hadzwan & Puah, Chin-Hong & Lean, Hooi Hooi, 2019. "Energy subsidy and oil price fluctuation, and price behavior in Malaysia:A time series analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 1000-1008.
    8. Pablo De la Vega & Jimena Calvo & Guido Zack, 2022. "Determinantes de la inflación en Argentina durante el período 2004-2022," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4555, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    9. Muhammad Murtaza & Muhammad Ayyoub & Aisha Riaz & Riaz Ahmed, 2023. "Examining Linkages between Poverty Alleviation and Macroeconomic Performance in Pakistan," Journal of Policy Research (JPR), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 9(2), pages 665-678.
    10. Ateyah Mohammad Alawneh, 2021. "Relationship between Workers' Remittances and Money Supply from 2000 to 2018: Using the Vector Autoregression Model," International Journal of Business and Management, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 15(2), pages 1-92, July.
    11. Ran TAO & Zheng-Zheng LI & Xiao-Lin LI & Chi-Wei SU, 2018. "A Reexamination of Friedman-Ball’s Hypothesis in Slovakia - Evidence from Wavelet Analysis," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 41-54, December.
    12. Amadou Jawo & Mohammed Jebou & Lamin Fatou Bayo, 2023. "The Relationship between Inflation, Exchange Rate, Money Supply and Economic Growth in The Gambia," Technium Social Sciences Journal, Technium Science, vol. 40(1), pages 213-222, February.
    13. Ditimi Amassoma & Sunday Keji & Emma-Ebere Onyedikachi O., 2017. "The Upshot of Money Supply and Inflation in Nigeria," Valahian Journal of Economic Studies, Sciendo, vol. 8(2), pages 75-90, October.

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