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Short Term Optimal Operation of Water Supply Reservoir under Flood Control Stress using Model Predictive Control

Author

Listed:
  • Gökçen Uysal

    (University of Duisburg-Essen
    Anadolu University)

  • Dirk Schwanenberg

    (University of Duisburg-Essen
    KISTERS AG)

  • Rodolfo Alvarado-Montero

    (University of Duisburg-Essen)

  • Aynur Şensoy

    (Anadolu University)

Abstract

Reservoir operations require enhanced operating procedures for water systems under stress attributed to growing water demand and consequences of changing hydro-climatic conditions. This study focuses on the management of the Yuvacik Dam Reservoir for water supply and flood mitigation in the Marmara Region of Turkey. We present an improved operating technique for fulfilling the conflicting water supply and flood mitigation objectives. This is accomplished by incorporating the long term water supply objectives into a Guide Curve (GC) whereas the extreme floods are attenuated by means of short-term optimization based on Model Predictive Control (MPC). The reference case implements operating rules with a constant GC at maximum forebay elevation targeting the fulfillment of the water supply objective. We compare the reference with a new time-dependent GC, derived using an Implicit Stochastic Optimization (ISO) approach. This new curve shows nearly the same performance regarding the water supply objectives, but significantly reduces the flooding risk downstream of the dam. Possible flood events observed at the end of the wet season, when the reservoir is at the maximum level to enable water supply for the dry season, can be eliminated by the application of an additional short-term optimization by MPC. The robustness of the approach is demonstrated via hindcasting experiments.

Suggested Citation

  • Gökçen Uysal & Dirk Schwanenberg & Rodolfo Alvarado-Montero & Aynur Şensoy, 2018. "Short Term Optimal Operation of Water Supply Reservoir under Flood Control Stress using Model Predictive Control," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(2), pages 583-597, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:32:y:2018:i:2:d:10.1007_s11269-017-1828-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-017-1828-x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Shuo Ouyang & Jianzhong Zhou & Chunlong Li & Xiang Liao & Hao Wang, 2015. "Optimal Design for Flood Limit Water Level of Cascade Reservoirs," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(2), pages 445-457, January.
    2. A. E. Brookfield & C. Gnau, 2016. "Optimizing Water Management for Irrigation Under Climate Uncertainty: Evaluating Operational and Structural Alternatives in the Lower Republican River Basin, Kansas, USA," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(2), pages 607-622, January.
    3. A. Brookfield & C. Gnau, 2016. "Optimizing Water Management for Irrigation Under Climate Uncertainty: Evaluating Operational and Structural Alternatives in the Lower Republican River Basin, Kansas, USA," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(2), pages 607-622, January.
    4. Gökçen Uysal & Aynur Şensoy & A. Şorman & Türker Akgün & Tolga Gezgin, 2016. "Basin/Reservoir System Integration for Real Time Reservoir Operation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(5), pages 1653-1668, March.
    5. Gökçen Uysal & Aynur Şensoy & A. Arda Şorman & Türker Akgün & Tolga Gezgin, 2016. "Basin/Reservoir System Integration for Real Time Reservoir Operation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(5), pages 1653-1668, March.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Fatemeh Barzegari Banadkooki & Jan Adamowski & Vijay P. Singh & Mohammad Ehteram & Hojat Karami & Sayed Farhad Mousavi & Saeed Farzin & Ahmed EL-Shafie, 2020. "Crow Algorithm for Irrigation Management: A Case Study," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(3), pages 1021-1045, February.

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