IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/sorede/v32y2021i3d10.1134_s1075700721030102.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Tools of the Technocenosis Theory for Forecasting Electricity Consumption in Russia

Author

Listed:
  • S. A. Nekrasov

    (Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

— The presented study of patterns of changes in specific (per capita) electricity consumption (SEC) in developed and developing countries, as well as in Russian regions, demonstrates that Russia does not have preconditions for electricity consumption growth to over 1400 bn kWh under the high scenario of the demographic forecast and to over 1300 bn kWh under the medium scenario. While differences between SECs in developed and developing countries have been decreasing since the 1960s, SEC differentiation among Russian regions is increasing. The conclusion reached using tools of the technocenosis theory is that efforts should be focused not on electricity consumption growth in regions with high energy supply (those specializing in mineral production and metallurgy), but on increasing SEC in outsider regions. The problem of reducing differences in SEC between Russian regions is important for the structural stability of the national economy as a system.

Suggested Citation

  • S. A. Nekrasov, 2021. "Tools of the Technocenosis Theory for Forecasting Electricity Consumption in Russia," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 32(3), pages 263-273, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sorede:v:32:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1134_s1075700721030102
    DOI: 10.1134/S1075700721030102
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1134/S1075700721030102
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1134/S1075700721030102?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. S. A. Nekrasov & I. D. Grachev, 2020. "Renewable Energy: Prospects for Energy Development Correction in Russia," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 71-78, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Nekrasov, S., 2023. "Environmental management from the point of energy transition: The example of the Rybinsk reservoir," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 61(4), pages 110-126.
    2. F. L. Byk & P. V. Ilyushin & L. S. Myshkina, 2022. "Forecast and Concept for the Transition to Distributed Generation in Russia," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 440-446, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nekrasov, S., 2023. "Environmental management from the point of energy transition: The example of the Rybinsk reservoir," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 61(4), pages 110-126.
    2. Nekrasov, S., 2022. "Decrease in differentiation of electric power supply in regions and sustainable development of the Russian economy," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 56(4), pages 123-140.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:sorede:v:32:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1134_s1075700721030102. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.