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Forecasting the Dynamics of the Depletion of Conventional Energy Resources

Author

Listed:
  • Yu. A. Ul’yanin

    (National Research Nuclear University MEPhI)

  • V. V. Kharitonov

    (National Research Nuclear University MEPhI)

  • D. Yu. Yurshina

    (National Research Nuclear University MEPhI)

Abstract

The paper presents the results of forecasting the dynamics of the depletion of conventional energy resources, including hydrocarbons (coal, oil, natural gas) and natural uranium, which currently form the mainstay of the energy supply of the economy. A balance model developed by the authors shows the dynamics of the growing shortage of exhaustible conventional energy resources after 2040 at various energy-consumption rates. For the time being, it is unclear which nonconventional primary energy sources are able to supply advanced commercially acceptable fast-growing energy systems (including capital investment) in order to equalize the rapidly growing primary energy shortages expected in the 1940s. The most advanced energy technology with almost unlimited resources that has reached the near-commercial stage of development can be nuclear fuel breeding.

Suggested Citation

  • Yu. A. Ul’yanin & V. V. Kharitonov & D. Yu. Yurshina, 2018. "Forecasting the Dynamics of the Depletion of Conventional Energy Resources," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 29(2), pages 153-160, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sorede:v:29:y:2018:i:2:d:10.1134_s1075700718020156
    DOI: 10.1134/S1075700718020156
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    Cited by:

    1. Alfredo Nespoli & Emanuele Ogliari & Sonia Leva & Alessandro Massi Pavan & Adel Mellit & Vanni Lughi & Alberto Dolara, 2019. "Day-Ahead Photovoltaic Forecasting: A Comparison of the Most Effective Techniques," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-15, April.
    2. I. E. Frolov, 2019. "Russian High-Technology Complex under Low Inflation and Government Support Limitation: The Condition, Capacity and Tendencies for Development," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 30(4), pages 365-375, July.
    3. V. K. Fal’tsman & M. V. Krakhina, 2019. "On the Concept of Structural Policy for the Long Term Perspective," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 30(3), pages 245-251, May.
    4. Kumar, K. Ravi & Dashora, Kavya & Krishnan, Naveen & Sanyal, S. & Chandra, Hukum & Dharmaraja, S. & Kumari, Vandita, 2021. "Feasibility assessment of renewable energy resources for tea plantation and industry in India - A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).

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